Time: 12:00 PM ET (11:00 AM CT) – ESPN+
Venue: McLane Stadium, 1001 S. M.L.K. Jr. Boulevard, Waco, TX 76704
Capacity: 45,140
Weather Forecast (Waco, TX)
Kickoff: 80°F, partly cloudy
End of Game: ~74°F, clear skies
Rain Chance: <5%
Wind: 6–9 mph
Impact: Ideal football weather; no major disruptions expected
Injury Report
Kansas State (2-3, 1-1 Big 12):
No major injuries reported; QB Avery Johnson fully healthy.
Baylor (3-2, 1-1 Big 12):
WR Kobe Prentice – Probable (ankle)
LB Keaton Thomas – Questionable (shoulder)
Key Player Matchups
Quarterbacks:
Kansas State: Avery Johnson – 1,019 yds, 8 TD, 1 INT, 62.5% comp; 137 rush yds, 2 TD
Baylor: Sawyer Robertson – 1,713 yds, 17 TD, 3 INT, 63.6% comp
Running Backs:
Kansas State: Dylan Edwards – 179 yds, 1 TD (7.5 YPC)
Baylor: Bryson Washington – 492 yds, 5 TD (98.4 YPG, 5.3 YPC)
Receivers:
Kansas State: Jayce Brown – 25 rec, 284 yds, 2 TD
Baylor: Josh Cameron – 27 rec, 407 yds, 3 TD
Defensive Leaders:
Kansas State: Tobi Osunsanmi – 14 tackles, 5 TFL, 4 sacks
Baylor: Jackie Marshall – 10 tackles, 3 TFL, 2 sacks
Recent Team Form
Kansas State (2-3):
W 34-20 vs UCF
L 23-17 @ Arizona
L 24-21 vs Army
W 38-35 vs North Dakota
L 24-21 vs Iowa State
Baylor (3-2):
W 45-27 @ Oklahoma State
L 27-24 vs Arizona State
W 42-7 vs Samford
W 48-45 (2OT) @ SMU
L 38-24 vs Auburn
Team Records
Kansas State: 2-3 overall, 1-1 Big 12
Baylor: 3-2 overall, 1-1 Big 12
Series History
All-Time: Kansas State leads 11–10
Last Meeting (2023): Kansas State 59, Baylor 25
Recent Trend: Kansas State has won 2 straight (2022–2023)
At Waco: Baylor leads 6–4
Betting Trends
Kansas State: 1-4 ATS in 2025; 2 of 5 games OVER
Baylor: 1-4 ATS in 2025; 3 of 5 games OVER
Head-to-Head: Kansas State 2-1 ATS last 3 vs Baylor; 2 of last 3 UNDER
Situational: Baylor 0-3 ATS at home this season; Kansas State 6-2 ATS as road underdog since 2022
Historical Betting Results
2023: Kansas State 59, Baylor 25 (KSU -20.5 covered, Over 55 hit)
2022: Kansas State 31, Baylor 3 (KSU +2.5 covered, Under 47 hit)
2021: Baylor 20, Kansas State 10 (BU +1.5 covered, Under 50 hit)
2020: Baylor 32, Kansas State 31 (BU +5.5 covered, Over 47 hit)
Projected Score: Baylor 31, Kansas State 27
Game Odds
Kansas State Wildcats 61.5
Baylor Bears – 5.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025
