NAIA-CFB Game Preview: Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes (2-2) vs. Texas Wesleyan Rams (2-2)

0
75

Venue & Logistics

  • Stadium: Panther Stadium at North Crowley High School, Fort Worth, Texas (temporary home for Texas Wesleyan).
  • Kickoff Time: 2:00 PM CDT.
  • Capacity: ~8,000.
  • Surface: Artificial turf.
  • Conference: Sooner Athletic Conference (SAC).
  • Broadcast: TXWES Rams Sports Network & SAC Live Stream.

Weather Forecast (Fort Worth, TX)

  • Conditions: Mostly sunny, warm early fall afternoon.
  • Temperature at kickoff: ~30°C (86°F).
  • Winds: 10–15 km/h from the south.
  • Chance of rain: 10%.
  • Impact: Warm but favorable football weather; no disruptions expected.

Injury Report

  • Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes (2–2):
    • QB1 healthy, averaging ~200 passing yards/game.
    • RB1 questionable with a hamstring strain.
    • Defense missing one starting linebacker (out for season).
  • Texas Wesleyan Rams (2–2):
  • QB1 healthy, averaging ~230 passing yards/game.
  • WR1 probable after minor ankle tweak.
  • OL depth thin after losing a starter in Week 3.

Key Player Matchups

  • Arkansas Baptist QB vs. TXWES Secondary:
    ABC’s QB has been efficient (6 TDs, 3 INTs). Texas Wesleyan’s secondary has allowed 240+ passing yards in 2 of 4 games.
  • TXWES QB vs. Arkansas Baptist Pass Rush:
    The Rams’ QB has been pressured heavily (10 sacks in 4 games). Arkansas Baptist averages 2.5 sacks per game.
  • Ground Game Battle:
    Arkansas Baptist averages 150 rushing yards/game, while TXWES has allowed 160+ rushing yards in 3 of 4 games.
  • WR1 Battle:
    TXWES’s WR1 (averaging 85 yards/game) vs. ABC’s CB1 — a matchup that could swing momentum.

Recent Team Form

  • Arkansas Baptist (2–2):
    • L at Houston Christian (69–0).
    • W vs. Texas College (34–27).
    • L vs. Nelson University (59–40).
    • W vs. TBA opponent (Homecoming, Sept. 27).
    • Trend: Offense improving (30 PPG), but defense inconsistent (allowing 38 PPG).
  • Texas Wesleyan (2–2):
  • L at Lindsey Wilson (45–10).
  • W at Texas College (52–13).
  • L at UT Rio Grande Valley (61–13).
  • W at Nelson University (37–21).
  • Trend: Strong against SAC peers, but struggled vs. ranked or higher‑division opponents.

Series History

  • All‑Time Head‑to‑Head: Texas Wesleyan leads the series.
  • Recent Meetings:
    • 2024: TXWES defeated Arkansas Baptist 62–0.
    • 2023: TXWES also won convincingly.
  • Trend: Texas Wesleyan has dominated the series, winning by large margins.

Betting Trends

  • Texas Wesleyan Rams:
    • 2–2 ATS this season.
    • 3 of last 4 games have gone over due to defensive lapses.
  • Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes:
  • 2–2 ATS this season.
  • 3 of last 4 games have gone over due to defensive struggles.

Historical Betting Results

  • 2024: TXWES –21, won 62–0 → Cover, Under.
  • 2023: TXWES –17, won 49–14 → Cover, Over.
  • 2022: TXWES –14, won 38–10 → Cover, Under.

Game Odds

Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes          56

Texas Wesleyan Rams                    – 14.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, October 3, 2025