WNBA Playoff Game Preview: Indiana Fever (2-2) vs. Las Vegas Aces (2-2)

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Las Vegas Aces logo

Event: 2025 WNBA Semifinals – Game 5 (Best‑of‑Five Series, tied 2‑2)
Tip‑off Time: 9:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM PT
Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Mandalay Bay Resort, Las Vegas, NV
Broadcast: ESPN2 (TV), Fubo / WNBA League Pass (streaming), SiriusXM Ch. 86 (radio)

Injury Report

Indiana Fever

  • Caitlin Clark (G) – Out, groin injury (season)
  • Sophie Cunningham (G) – Out, torn MCL
  • Chloe Bibby (F) – Out, knee injury
  • Damiris Dantas (F) – Out, concussion protocol
  • Sydney Colson (G) – Out, ACL tear
  • Aari McDonald (G) – Out, foot fracture
  • Lexie Hull (F) – Questionable, back injury

Las Vegas Aces

  • No injuries reported. Full roster available.

Key Player Matchups

  • A’ja Wilson (Aces) vs. Aliyah Boston (Fever)
    • Wilson: 23.7 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 2.2 SPG this postseason
    • Boston: 24 pts, 14 rebs in Game 4; physical presence inside
    • Battle of MVP vs. Rookie‑turned‑franchise cornerstone.
  • Chelsea Gray (Aces) vs. Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)
    • Gray: 7.0 APG in playoffs, floor general
    • Mitchell: 25 pts in Game 4, Fever’s primary scorer
    • Playmaking vs. scoring explosiveness.
  • Jackie Young (Aces) vs. Odyssey Sims (Fever)
  • Young: 18.4 PPG last 10 games
  • Sims: Veteran leadership, 18 pts in Game 4
  • Wing scoring and defensive intensity will be decisive.

📈 Recent Team Form

Las Vegas Aces

  • Regular Season: 30‑14 (17‑5 home)
  • Playoffs: 4‑3 record
  • Last 10 games: 7‑3, averaging 86.4 PPG, holding opponents to 75.7 PPG

Indiana Fever

  • Regular Season: 24‑20 (11‑11 away)
  • Playoffs: 4‑3 record, 3‑0 in elimination games
  • Last 10 games: 7‑3, averaging 82.5 PPG, allowing 76.9 PPG

Series History

  • 2025 Regular Season: Fever won 2‑1
  • Last 10 Meetings: Aces lead 6‑4
  • Current Series: Tied 2‑2
  • Game 1: Fever 89‑73 (Mitchell 34 pts)
  • Game 2: Aces win (by 17 avg margin over Games 2 & 3)
  • Game 3: Aces win
  • Game 4: Fever 90‑83 (Mitchell 25 pts, Boston 24 pts/14 rebs)

Betting Trends

  • Aces: 17‑5 at home this season; covered spread in 7 of last 10 home games.
  • Fever: 3‑0 in elimination games this postseason; strong ATS (against the spread) as underdogs.
  • Totals: 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER 160 points.
  • Props:
  • Aliyah Boston double‑double (+110)
  • A’ja Wilson 25+ points (popular parlay leg)
  • Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 assists trending

Historical Betting Results

  • Head‑to‑Head ATS (last 10): Aces 6‑4
  • Playoff Elimination Games (2025): Fever 3‑0 ATS and SU (straight up)
  • Aces as Home Favorites (2025): 70% win rate ATS

Preview Summary

The Las Vegas Aces enter Game 5 as heavy favorites with home‑court advantage, depth, and a healthy roster. Indiana Fever, however, have thrived in elimination games, riding the star power of Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston despite a decimated roster.

Expect a physical, high‑intensity battle:

  • If the Fever can control the paint and get to the free‑throw line (league‑best 22.1 attempts per playoff game), they can keep it close.
  • If the Aces’ depth and pace take over late, they’re positioned to cover the spread and advance to the Finals.