Venue, Date & Time
Location: Falcon Stadium, U.S. Air Force Academy, Colorado Springs, CO (Capacity: 46,692)
Kickoff: 4:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM MT / 10:00 AM HT
Broadcast: FS1
Weather Forecast (Colorado Springs, CO)
Conditions: Sunny, dry mountain air
Temperature: ~74°F (23°C) at kickoff
Wind: 12–13 mph (crosswinds possible)
Humidity: ~29%
Impact: Thin air at altitude favors the deep ball and long field goals, but swirling winds could affect passing accuracy and special teams.
Injury Report
Hawai‘i Rainbow Warriors
QB Micah Alejado – Questionable (foot/ankle, played vs. Fresno State but not 100%)
WR Nick Cenacle – Questionable (knee)
WR Jarvis Heimuli – Out for season (undisclosed)
DL Tariq Jones – Questionable
Air Force Falcons
FB Kemper Hodges – Questionable (undisclosed)
WR Jonah Dawson – Questionable (undisclosed)
Key Player Matchups
QB Micah Alejado (Hawai‘i, 586 yds, 3 TD, 4 INT) vs. QB Liam Szarka (Air Force, 360 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT; 111 rush yds, 1 TD)
Alejado must limit turnovers (3 INT vs. Fresno State). Szarka is emerging as Air Force’s dual-threat leader.
WR Pofele Ashlock (Hawai‘i, 34 REC, 303 yds, 3 TD) vs. WR Cade Harris (Air Force, 13 REC, 323 yds, 1 TD)
Ashlock is UH’s most reliable target; Harris is a versatile “Swiss Army knife” who had 179 receiving yards vs. Boise State.
RB Landon Sims (Hawai‘i, 184 yds) vs. RB Dylan Carson (Air Force, 213 yds, 2 TD)
Sims provides balance for UH’s pass-heavy scheme; Carson anchors the Falcons’ triple-option ground game.
LB Jamall Thompson (UH, 9 TKL, 3 TFL, 2 sacks, 1 INT) vs. Air Force Offensive Line
Thompson is UH’s defensive disruptor; Air Force averages 267 rushing yards per game.
Recent Team Forms
Hawai‘i Rainbow Warriors (3-2, 0-1 MW)
L 23–21 vs. Fresno State
W 23–3 vs. Portland State
W 37–20 vs. Sam Houston
L 40–6 @ Arizona
W 23–20 vs. Stanford
Trend: Offense averaging 22.4 PPG; defense strong vs. run (Top 30 nationally). Turnovers (-8 margin) are a major issue.
Air Force Falcons (1-2, 0-2 MW)
L 49–37 vs. Boise State
L 49–30 @ Utah State
W 49–13 vs. Bucknell
Trend: Nation’s longest streak of 100-yard rushing games (88 straight). Offense averaging 38.7 PPG, but defense has allowed 49+ in back-to-back MW games.
Conference Context
Hawai‘i: Mountain West member since 2012; looking to avoid 0-2 start in league play.
Air Force: Longtime Mountain West power; at risk of 0-3 MW start, which would be devastating for title hopes.
Series History
All-time H2H: Air Force leads 14–8–1
Last Meeting (2023): Hawai‘i 27–13 win in Honolulu
Last Meeting at Falcon Stadium: Hawai‘i 34–27 (2OT) win in 2016, snapping Air Force’s 15-game home win streak
Trophy: Winner claims the General Laurence S. Kuter Trophy
Betting Trends
Hawai‘i:
3–2 ATS in 2025
1–4 O/U this season
1–3 ATS as underdog of 6+ points
Air Force:
1–2 ATS in 2025
3–0 O/U this season
7–1 SU in last 8 home games vs. Hawai‘i
Historical Betting Results
2023: Hawai‘i +12.5 covered, upset Air Force 27–13 (Under 51.5)
2016: Hawai‘i +14 covered, upset Air Force 34–27 (2OT, Over 55.5)
2012: Air Force -7 covered, won 21–7 (Under 48)
2001: Hawai‘i +3 covered, won 27–24 (Over 50.5)
Game Odds
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 52.5
Air Force Falcons – 6.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 26, 2025
