D2-CFB Game Preview: UT Permian Basin Falcons (2-0) vs. Texas A&M–Kingsville Javelinas (1-1)

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Kickoff: 7:00 PM CT
Venue: Javelina Stadium, Kingsville, Texas (Capacity: ~15,000)
Broadcast: FloCollege / Javelina Sports Network / UTPB Falcons Radio

Weather Forecast (Kingsville, TX)

Temperature: ~88°F (31°C) at kickoff, cooling into the upper 70s by the 4th quarter

Conditions: Mostly clear skies, light coastal breeze (6–9 mph)

Impact: Warm, humid conditions could test stamina, especially for defensive fronts.

Injury Report

UT Permian Basin (2–0, ranked #11 nationally):

QB starter – Healthy; efficient start with 6 TDs, 1 INT.

RB Kory Harris – Healthy; 1,061 yards and 13 TDs last season, already off to a strong 2025.

WR corps – Healthy; multiple deep threats.

Defense – Healthy; front seven has been disruptive, averaging 3 sacks per game.

Texas A&M–Kingsville (1–1, 0–0 LSC):

QB starter – Healthy; 3 TDs, 2 INTs through two games.

TE Ivan Thomas – Healthy; leads team in receptions and yards, rare TE focal point in LSC.

OL – Entirely new unit after 2024 departures; has yet to allow a sack this season.

DL Blake Jaques and Kerry North – Healthy; both coming off strong performances vs. NW Missouri State.

Key Player Matchups

RB Kory Harris (UTPB) vs. Javelina Front Seven

Harris is the Falcons’ offensive engine; Kingsville must contain him to avoid long drives.

TE Ivan Thomas (TAMUK) vs. UTPB Linebackers

Thomas is a mismatch weapon; if he controls the middle, Kingsville can sustain drives.

UTPB QB vs. Kingsville Secondary

Falcons’ passing game has been efficient; Javelinas must avoid giving up explosive plays.

Kingsville OL vs. UTPB Pass Rush

A rebuilt but so far sturdy Javelina line faces its toughest test against a top-15 defense.

Recent Team Form

UT Permian Basin Falcons (2–0, 0–0 LSC, #11 nationally)

9/6: W 45–14 @ Adams State

8/30: W 28–21 vs. Central Oklahoma (#9)

Trend: Offense averaging 36.5 PPG; defense allowing 17.5 PPG.

Texas A&M–Kingsville Javelinas (1–1, 0–0 LSC)

9/13: L 49–20 @ Northwest Missouri State (#4)

8/30: W 27–14 vs. Sul Ross State

Trend: Offense averaging 23.5 PPG; defense allowing 31.5 PPG.

Series History

All-time series: Texas A&M–Kingsville leads 4–3.

Last meeting (2024): Kingsville won 20–14 in Odessa.

Kingsville is 4–1 in its last five conference openers, including last year’s win over UTPB.

UTPB last won in Kingsville in 2022.

Betting Trends

UT Permian Basin:

4–1 SU in last 5 games.

3–2 ATS in last 5.

Overs hit in 3 of last 5.

Texas A&M–Kingsville:

2–3 SU in last 5 games.

2–3 ATS in last 5.

Unders hit in 3 of last 5.

Head-to-Head: Kingsville has covered in 2 of the last 3 meetings.

Historical Betting Results

UTPB: Profitable ATS as a road favorite; overs common when Harris dominates on the ground.

TAMUK: Strong ATS in conference openers; unders frequent when defense holds at home.

LSC Trends: Ranked road favorites cover ~60% of the time in September conference games.

Game Odds

UT Permian Basin Falcons                            – 10.5

Texas A&M–Kingsville Javelinas                54

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025