D2-CFB Game Preview: Western New Mexico Mustangs (1-2) vs. Angelo State Rams (3-0)

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Kickoff: 6:00 PM CT (5:00 PM MT / 7:00 PM ET)
Venue: LeGrand Stadium at 1st Community Credit Union Field, San Angelo, Texas (Capacity: ~10,500)
Broadcast: FloCollege / Angelo Sports Network

Weather Forecast (San Angelo, TX)

Temperature: ~88°F (31°C) at kickoff, cooling into the upper 70s by the 4th quarter

Conditions: Mostly sunny, light winds (6–9 mph)

Impact: Warm but manageable; hydration and depth could be factors in the second half.

Injury Report

Western New Mexico (1–2, 0–1 LSC):

QB Connor Ackerley – Healthy; leads the LSC in passing yards (1,080) and TDs (13).

WR top unit – Healthy; multiple receivers averaging 70+ YPG.

RB rotation – Healthy, but rushing attack inconsistent.

Defense – LB Cole Lalama and DB Diego Diaz (15 tackles each) healthy, but unit has allowed 49.3 PPG.

Angelo State (3–0, 1–0 LSC, ranked #6 AFCA/D2Football):

QB Braeden Fuller – Healthy; efficient dual-threat, 222 yards passing and 74 rushing in last year’s WNMU matchup.

RB Chad Pharies – Healthy; 77 yards, 2 TDs vs. Eastern New Mexico.

WR Zeek Freeman – Healthy; returned a kickoff for a TD last week (first in LSC this season).

Defense – DE Owen Seaver (LSC Defensive Player of the Week) healthy; 8 tackles, 3 TFL, 2 sacks, 1 fumble recovery.

Key Player Matchups

QB Connor Ackerley (WNMU) vs. ASU Secondary

Ackerley is the LSC’s most prolific passer, but faces a Rams defense that thrives on pressure and turnovers.

RB Chad Pharies (ASU) vs. WNMU Front Seven

Pharies’ ability to control tempo could keep WNMU’s high-volume passing attack off the field.

WR Corps (WNMU) vs. ASU Corners

Mustangs’ receivers are productive, but ASU’s secondary has limited explosive plays all season.

DE Owen Seaver (ASU) vs. WNMU Offensive Line

Seaver’s disruptive presence could be the difference-maker against a pass-heavy offense.

Recent Team Form

Western New Mexico Mustangs (1–2, 0–1 LSC)

9/13: L 28–7 vs. West Texas A&M

9/6: L 69–55 @ New Mexico Highlands

8/30: W 35–21 vs. Adams State

Trend: Offense averaging 39.0 PPG, but defense giving up 49.3 PPG.

Angelo State Rams (3–0, 1–0 LSC, #6 nationally)

9/13: W 31–20 @ Eastern New Mexico

9/6: W 41–20 vs. Emporia State

8/29: W 28–7 @ Fort Hays State

Trend: Balanced team; offense averaging 33.3 PPG, defense allowing just 15.7 PPG.

Series History

All-time series: Angelo State leads 7–2.

Last meeting (2024): Angelo State won 21–0 in Silver City, NM.

2023: Angelo State won 62–6.

WNMU’s last win came in 2016.

Betting Trends

Western New Mexico:

1–4 SU in last 5 games.

1–4 ATS in last 5.

Overs hit in 4 of last 5.

Angelo State:

4–1 SU in last 5 games.

3–2 ATS in last 5.

Unders hit in 3 of last 5.

Head-to-Head: Angelo State has covered in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Historical Betting Results

Western New Mexico: Struggles ATS as a road underdog; overs common due to defensive lapses.

Angelo State: Profitable ATS at home; unders frequent when defense dominates.

LSC Trends: Ranked home favorites cover ~63% of the time in September conference games.

Game Odds

Western New Mexico Mustangs                60

Angelo State Rams                                          – 24.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025