Kickoff: 11:59 PM ET (5:59 PM HT local)
Venue: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, Hawai‘i (Capacity: ~15,000)
Broadcast: Spectrum Sports / CBS Sports Network
Weather Forecast (Honolulu, HI)
Temperature: ~83°F (28°C) at kickoff, humid with a light ocean breeze
Conditions: Partly cloudy, ~20% chance of scattered showers, winds 7–10 mph
Impact: Typical island football weather; humidity could test Fresno State’s conditioning late.
Injury Report
Fresno State Bulldogs (Mountain West):
QB Mikey Keene (starter, 812 yards, 7 TDs, 2 INTs through 3 games) healthy.
RB Malik Sherrod (312 rushing yards, 4 TDs) available.
WR Jalen Moss (245 yards, 3 TDs) and WR Erik Brooks (198 yards, 2 TDs) active.
Defense intact, led by LB Levelle Bailey (team-high tackles).
Hawai‘i Rainbow Warriors (Mountain West):
QB John-Keawe Sagapolutele (725 yards, 5 TDs, 3 INTs) healthy.
RB Jordan Johnson (178 rushing yards, 2 TDs) available.
WR Pofele Ashlock (312 yards, 2 TDs) and WR Steven McBride (265 yards, 2 TDs) active.
Defense led by LB Logan Taylor (team leader in tackles).
Key Player Matchups
QB Mikey Keene (Fresno State) vs. Hawai‘i Secondary
Keene has been efficient and accurate; Hawai‘i’s DBs must avoid giving up explosive plays to Moss and Brooks.
RB Malik Sherrod (Fresno State) vs. Hawai‘i Front Seven
Sherrod’s ability to control tempo on the ground will be key to keeping Fresno’s offense balanced.
QB John-Keawe Sagapolutele (Hawai‘i) vs. Fresno State Pass Rush
Sagapolutele has been productive but turnover-prone; Fresno’s front must pressure him into mistakes.
WR Pofele Ashlock (Hawai‘i) vs. Fresno State Corners
Ashlock is averaging over 100 YPG; Bulldogs must double him in red-zone situations.
Recent Team Form
Fresno State Bulldogs (2–1, Mountain West)
8/30/25: W 38–14 vs. Cal Poly
9/6/25: L 31–24 @ UCLA
9/13/25: W 41–17 vs. New Mexico State
Trend: Offense averaging 34.3 PPG, defense opportunistic with 6 takeaways in 3 games.
Hawai‘i Rainbow Warriors (1–2, Mountain West)
8/30/25: L 42–14 @ Arizona
9/6/25: L 28–21 vs. Oregon State
9/13/25: W 31–24 vs. Albany
Trend: Offense improving (25 PPG), but defense allowing 31.3 PPG; struggling against Power Four competition.
Series History
Fresno State leads the all-time series 31–24–1.
Last meeting: 2024, Fresno State won 27–13 in Fresno.
Fresno State has won 11 of the last 13 meetings, including 5 straight.
Hawai‘i’s last win came in 2017 (41–21).
Betting Trends
Fresno State:
2–1 ATS in 2025.
6–2 ATS in last 8 road games.
4 of last 5 games have gone over the total.
Hawai‘i:
1–2 ATS in 2025.
2–6 ATS in last 8 home games.
5 of last 7 games have gone over the total.
Head-to-Head:
Fresno State 5–0 SU in last 5 vs. Hawai‘i.
3 of last 4 meetings went under the total.
Historical Betting Results
Fresno State: Reliable ATS as a road favorite; offense often pushes games over the total.
Hawai‘i: Struggles ATS at home vs. MWC powers; defense-driven unders common in island games.
MWC Trends: Road favorites cover ~58% of the time in September conference play.
Game Odds
Fresno State Bulldogs – 3
Hawai‘i Rainbow Warriors 46.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025
