FBS-CFB Game Preview: Michigan State Spartans (3-0) vs. USC Trojans (3-0)

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Kickoff: 11:00 PM ET (8:00 PM PT local)
Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California (Capacity: ~77,500)
Broadcast: FOX

Weather Forecast (Los Angeles, CA)

Temperature: ~79°F (26°C) at kickoff, cooling into the low 70s by the 4th quarter

Conditions: Clear skies, light coastal breeze (5–7 mph)

Impact: Perfect Southern California night; no weather disruptions expected.

Injury Report

Michigan State Spartans (Big Ten):

QB Aidan Chiles (647 yards, 6 TDs, 2 INTs; 152 rushing yards, 2 TDs) healthy.

RB Elijah Tau-Tolliver (187 rushing yards, 3 TDs) available.

WR Nick Marsh (188 yards, 1 TD) active.

Defense intact, led by LB Jordan Hall (team-high tackles).

USC Trojans (Big Ten):

QB Jayden Maiava (812 yards, 5 TDs, 1 INT; 1 rushing TD) healthy.

RB Waymond Jordan (211 rushing yards, 3 TDs) available.

WR Ja’Kobi Lane (12 catches, 276 yards, 2 TDs) active.

Defense led by LB Tackett Curtis (21 tackles).

Key Player Matchups

QB Aidan Chiles (MSU) vs. USC Secondary

Chiles is a dual-threat who has accounted for 8 total TDs; USC must contain his scrambling ability.

RB Elijah Tau-Tolliver (MSU) vs. USC Front Seven

Tau-Tolliver is averaging 5.6 YPC; Trojans must prevent chunk runs.

QB Jayden Maiava (USC) vs. MSU Pass Rush

Maiava has been efficient and explosive; Spartans must pressure him to avoid another 250+ yard outing.

WR Ja’Kobi Lane (USC) vs. MSU Corners

Lane is averaging 23 YPC; Michigan State must double him in deep-ball situations.

Recent Team Form

Michigan State Spartans (3–0, Big Ten)

8/30/25: W 23–6 vs. Western Michigan

9/6/25: W 45–42 (2OT) vs. Boston College

9/13/25: W 41–24 vs. Youngstown State

Trend: Offense led by Chiles has been clutch late, but defense has been leaky (allowing 24+ in 2 of 3 games).

USC Trojans (3–0, Big Ten)

8/30/25: W 52–10 vs. Missouri State

9/6/25: W 45–14 vs. Georgia Southern

9/13/25: W 33–17 @ Purdue

Trend: Offense averaging 43.3 PPG, defense improving after shaky 2024 season.

Series History

USC leads the all-time series 6–0.

Last meeting: 1990, USC won 23–14 in the John Hancock Bowl.

First Big Ten meeting between the programs.

Betting Trends

Michigan State:

0–3 ATS in 2025.

2 of 3 games have gone over the total.

1–5 ATS in last 6 road games.

USC:

2–1 ATS in 2025.

2 of 3 games have gone over the total.

5–2 ATS in last 7 home games.

Head-to-Head:

USC 6–0 SU all-time vs. Michigan State.

Last 3 meetings all went under the total.

Historical Betting Results

Michigan State: Struggles ATS as a road underdog; defense vulnerable against high-powered offenses.

USC: Strong ATS at home as a double-digit favorite; offense often pushes games over.

Big Ten Trends: West Coast Big Ten teams (USC, UCLA, Oregon, Washington) have covered ~60% of early-season home games since joining.

Game Odds

Michigan State Spartans               55

USC Trojans                                        – 19

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025