Kickoff: 7:30 PM ET (6:30 PM CT local)
Venue: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee (Capacity: ~40,550)
Broadcast: ESPNU
Weather Forecast (Nashville, TN)
Temperature: ~82°F (28°C) at kickoff, cooling into the 70s by the 4th quarter
Conditions: Clear skies, humid, light winds (4–6 mph)
Impact: Excellent football weather; no disruptions expected.
Injury Report
Georgia State Panthers (Sun Belt):
QB TJ Finley (150 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs vs. Murray State) healthy but inconsistent.
QB Cameran Brown (138 yards, 3 TDs vs. Murray State) available and pushing for more snaps.
RB Branson Robinson (65 rushing yards vs. Murray State) active.
WR Ted Hurst (10 catches, 172 yards, 2 TDs vs. Murray State) healthy and the top target.
Vanderbilt Commodores (SEC):
QB Diego Pavia (645 yards, 7 TDs, 2 INTs through 3 games; 73.5% completions) healthy.
RB Jamezell Lassiter (44-yard TD run vs. South Carolina) available.
WR Eli Stowers (team leader in receptions) active.
Defense intact, led by CB/WR Martel Hight (Hornung Award Player of the Week).
Key Player Matchups
QB Diego Pavia (Vandy) vs. Georgia State Secondary
Pavia is one of the most efficient passers in the SEC; GSU must pressure him to avoid another multi-TD outing.
WR Ted Hurst (GSU) vs. Vandy Corners
Hurst’s 172-yard, 2-TD performance last week makes him the Panthers’ most dangerous weapon.
RB Branson Robinson (GSU) vs. Vandy Front Seven
Robinson’s power running could help GSU control tempo if they can stay balanced.
Vandy Defense vs. GSU QB Rotation
Georgia State has alternated between Finley and Brown; Vanderbilt’s opportunistic defense (7 takeaways in 3 games) will look to exploit mistakes.
Recent Team Form
Georgia State Panthers (1–2, Sun Belt)
8/30/25: L 63–7 @ Ole Miss
9/6/25: L 38–16 vs. Memphis
9/13/25: W 37–21 vs. Murray State
Trend: Offense finally clicked vs. Murray State, but turnovers and penalties remain an issue.
Vanderbilt Commodores (3–0, SEC)
8/30/25: W 45–3 vs. Charleston Southern
9/6/25: W 44–20 vs. Virginia Tech
9/13/25: W 31–7 vs. South Carolina
Trend: First 3–0 start since 2017; defense ranks top-20 nationally in rushing yards allowed (82.7), total yards allowed (237), and scoring defense (10 PPG).
Series History
Vanderbilt leads the all-time series 1–1.
Last meeting: 2024, Georgia State upset Vanderbilt 36–32 in Atlanta.
First meeting: 2023, Vanderbilt won 35–14.
Betting Trends
Vanderbilt:
3–0 ATS in 2025.
1–0 ATS as a 26.5-point favorite or greater.
1 of 3 games has gone over the total.
Georgia State:
0–3 ATS in 2025.
0–1 ATS as a 26.5-point underdog or more.
1 of 3 games has gone over the total.
Head-to-Head:
Series tied 1–1.
Last year’s game went over the total.
Historical Betting Results
Vanderbilt: Strong ATS start in 2025; defense-driven unders common, but offense has been efficient enough to cover large spreads.
Georgia State: Historically struggles ATS vs. Power Four opponents; occasional outright upsets (like 2024 vs. Vandy) but inconsistent.
SEC vs. Sun Belt: SEC teams cover ~65% of the time in these matchups.
Game Odds
Georgia State Panthers 53
Vanderbilt Commodores – 28.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025
