Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, North Carolina
Broadcast: ABC / ESPN app
Weather Forecast (Durham, NC)
Temperature: ~81°F (27°C) at kickoff
Conditions: Mostly sunny, light humidity, winds 5–7 mph
Impact: Excellent football weather; no disruptions expected for passing or kicking.
Injury Report
NC State Wolfpack (ACC):
QB Grayson Loftis (starter, 612 yards, 5 TDs, 2 INTs through three games) healthy.
RB Michael Allen (245 rushing yards, 3 TDs) available.
WR Kevin Concepcion (215 yards, 2 TDs) active.
Defense intact, led by LB Payton Wilson Jr. (team leader in tackles).
Duke Blue Devils (ACC):
QB Maalik Murphy (725 passing yards, 6 TDs, 3 INTs; 110 rushing yards, 2 TDs) healthy.
RB Jordan Waters (312 rushing yards, 4 TDs) available.
WR Jalon Calhoun (280 yards, 3 TDs) active.
DB Jeremiah Lewis (hamstring) questionable.
Key Player Matchups
QB Grayson Loftis (NC State) vs. Duke Secondary
Loftis has been efficient but turnover-prone; Duke’s DBs will look to capitalize if Lewis returns.
WR Kevin Concepcion (NC State) vs. Duke Corners
Concepcion is NC State’s top playmaker; Duke must prevent explosive plays downfield.
QB Maalik Murphy (Duke) vs. NC State Pass Rush
Murphy’s dual-threat ability makes him dangerous; NC State must pressure him to force mistakes.
RB Jordan Waters (Duke) vs. NC State Front Seven
Waters’ power running could wear down NC State’s defense if the Wolfpack can’t control the line.
Recent Team Form
NC State Wolfpack (2–1, ACC)
8/30/25: W 38–10 vs. James Madison
9/6/25: L 27–24 @ Clemson
9/13/25: W 41–14 vs. Coastal Carolina
Trend: Balanced offense, defense stout against the run; only loss came in a close road game vs. Clemson.
Duke Blue Devils (3–0, ACC)
8/30/25: W 34–17 vs. Temple
9/6/25: W 27–20 @ Northwestern
9/13/25: W 31–14 vs. East Carolina
Trend: Offense explosive (averaging 31 PPG), defense opportunistic with 6 takeaways in three games.
Series History
NC State leads the all-time series 42–37–5.
Last meeting: 2023, Duke defeated NC State 24–3 in Durham.
Duke has won 2 of the last 3 meetings, but NC State has historically dominated the rivalry.
Betting Trends
NC State:
2–1 ATS in 2025.
Unders hit in 2 of 3 games.
5–2 ATS in last 7 ACC games.
Duke:
3–0 ATS in 2025.
Overs hit in 2 of 3 games.
6–1 ATS in last 7 home games.
Head-to-Head:
Duke 2–1 SU in last 3 meetings.
Unders hit in 2 of last 3 matchups.
Historical Betting Results
NC State: Reliable ATS as a road underdog in ACC play.
Duke: Strong ATS at home, especially as a small favorite.
ACC Trends: Rivalry games between these two often trend under due to defensive intensity.
Game Odds
NC State Wolfpack 52.5
Duke Blue Devils – 3.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025
