Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York
Broadcast: ESPN+
Weather Forecast (Buffalo, NY)
Temperature: ~70°F (21°C) at kickoff
Conditions: Partly cloudy, light winds (6–9 mph)
Impact: Comfortable early fall conditions; no major weather disruptions expected.
Injury Report
Troy Trojans (Sun Belt):
QB Tucker Kilcrease (65 yards, 1 INT vs. Memphis) healthy but inconsistent.
RB Jordan Lovett (50 yards on 8 carries vs. Memphis) available.
WR Roman Mothershed (8 catches, 58 yards vs. Memphis) active.
LB “Goose” Crowder (shoulder) out indefinitely.
Buffalo Bulls (MAC):
QB Ta’Quan Roberson (318 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT vs. Kent State) healthy and starting.
RB Al-Jay Henderson (75 rushing yards, 1 TD; 8 catches vs. Kent State) available.
WR Nik McMillan (111 yards, 1 TD vs. Kent State) active.
LB Shaq Green-Thompson (hamstring) questionable.
Key Player Matchups
QB Ta’Quan Roberson (Buffalo) vs. Troy Secondary
Roberson’s dual-threat ability (318 passing yards, 63 rushing yards vs. Kent State) makes him Buffalo’s engine.
RB Al-Jay Henderson (Buffalo) vs. Troy Linebackers
Henderson’s versatility as both runner and receiver will test Troy’s defense, especially with Crowder out.
QB Tucker Kilcrease (Troy) vs. Buffalo Pass Rush
Kilcrease struggled vs. Memphis (10-of-29, 65 yards); he must improve efficiency to keep Troy competitive.
WR Roman Mothershed (Troy) vs. Buffalo Corners
Mothershed is Troy’s most reliable target; Buffalo must prevent him from moving the chains.
Recent Team Form
Troy Trojans (1–2, Sun Belt)
8/30/25: L 28–7 vs. Memphis
9/6/25: L 28–7 vs. Memphis (duplicate listing in reports, but 1–2 overall)
9/13/25: W 52–20 vs. Southern Miss (21 points in final two minutes)
Trend: Offense inconsistent but explosive in spurts; defense weakened by injuries.
Buffalo Bulls (2–1, MAC)
8/30/25: L 24–14 vs. Cincinnati
9/6/25: W 31–28 vs. Kent State
9/13/25: W 27–21 vs. FCS opponent
Trend: Balanced team, leaning on Roberson’s playmaking; defense solid but banged up.
Series History
This is the first-ever meeting between Troy and Buffalo.
Betting Trends
Buffalo:
2–1 ATS in 2025.
2 of 3 games have gone over the total.
1–1 ATS as a favorite of 6+ points.
Troy:
1–2 ATS in 2025.
1 of 3 games has gone over the total.
1–0 ATS as an underdog of 6+ points.
Head-to-Head: First meeting.
Historical Betting Results
Buffalo: Reliable ATS at home in September; 5–2 ATS in last 7 non-conference home games.
Troy: Historically strong ATS as a road underdog in non-conference play.
Sun Belt vs. MAC: Sun Belt teams cover ~55% of the time in these interconference matchups.
Game Odds
Troy Trojans 42.5
Buffalo Bulls – 5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 19, 2025
