FBS-CFB Game Preview: #16 Iowa State Cyclones (3-0) vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-1)

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Venue & Game Info

Kickoff: 4:00 PM ET / 3:00 PM CT

Location: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas

Broadcast: ESPN2 Streaming: ESPN app

Notable: First Big 12 program and highest-ranked opponent ever to visit Centennial Bank Stadium

Weather Outlook

Forecast: Sunny, hot, and humid

Temperature at Kickoff: ~97°F, “feels like” over 100°F

Winds: 5–8 mph from the southwest

Impact: Heat could test depth and conditioning; hydration and rotation management will be critical

Injury & Availability Report

Iowa State:

OL Trevor Buhr — Probable (returning from injury)

LB Carson Willich — Questionable

LB Cael Brezina — Expected to play after minor knock vs. Iowa

Overall roster health described by HC Matt Campbell as “as good as we’ve been at this point in the season”

Arkansas State:

No major starters ruled out

QB Jaylen Raynor fully fit; leads team in both passing and rushing yards

Young defensive unit — 10 first-time starters this season

Recent Form

Iowa State:

W 16–13 vs. Iowa — won Cy-Hawk rivalry on late 54-yard FG

W 52–7 vs. Arkansas State (2024) — dominant in last year’s meeting

W 38–14 vs. Kansas State (in Dublin) — season opener

Arkansas State:

L 56–14 at Arkansas — offense stalled, defense gashed on ground

W 38–14 vs. FCS opponent — efficient passing, opportunistic defense

Series History

All-Time: Iowa State leads 1–0

Last Meeting: 2024 — Iowa State 52, Arkansas State 7 in Ames

Note: This is the return leg of a home-and-home series

Betting Trends

Iowa State: 2–1 ATS in 2025; Under in 2 of 3 games

Arkansas State: 1–1 ATS in 2025; Over in 1 of 2 games

Totals: Model leans Under based on ISU’s defensive metrics and ASU’s offensive inconsistency

Game Odds

#16 Iowa State Cyclones               – 21.5

Arkansas State Red Wolves         55.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 12, 2025