Race Overview
Venue: Remington Park, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA
Race: Red Earth Handicap (3YO+, Stakes)
Time: 8:44 PM CDT (Race 9)
Surface/Distance: Turf, 7 furlongs + 110 yards (~1509m)
Purse: $50,000 — Winner $31,500; 2nd $10,000; 3rd $5,000; 4th $3,500
Field Size: 8 runners
Expected Weather & Track Conditions
Forecast: Clear skies, warm evening, ~34°C at post
Wind: Light southerly breeze — minimal tactical impact.
Turf: Firm to good-firm; recent cards have played fair to both pace-pressers and stalkers, with a slight lean toward tactical speed.
Morning line odds are indicative; check live boards for updates.
Tap The Dot (Draw 1) – Elliott / Asmussen
Profile: 5 wins from 14; high strike rate and strong C&D record.
Last run: 3rd of 6 at RP 7f (good), 2½L behind Excaping The Blues.
Positives: Rail draw; tactical speed; elite trainer-jockey combo.
Negatives: Needs to turn tables on the favourite.
Good Swimmer (Draw 2) – Quinonez / Willis
Profile: 5 wins from 24; honest grinder.
Last run: 2nd of 10 at RP 7f (good), just ½L behind Brother Reid.
Positives: Consistent; can sit handy.
Negatives: Faces classier rivals here.
Country Caper (Draw 3) – Wethey Jr. / Bravo
Profile: 3 wins from 17; proven at trip.
Last run: 5th of 6 at RP 7f (good), 4½L behind Excaping The Blues.
Positives: Capable on best form; trainer in form.
Negatives: Needs a pace collapse to feature.
Red Mountain (Draw 4) – Valdez-Jiminez / Ashford
Profile: 4 wins from 19; versatile.
Last run: 4th of 7 at RP 6f (fast), 7¾L behind Missin Hollywood.
Positives: Can finish off strongly.
Negatives: Step up in class.
Excaping The Blues (Draw 5) – Diego / Bravo
Profile: 6 wins from 27; arrives on a three-race win streak.
Last run: Won RP 7f (good) by a head over Number One Dude.
Positives: Peak form; proven against key rivals; tactical versatility.
Negatives: Short price; must sustain hot streak.
Magna Tap (Draw 6) – Purcell / Dupuy
Profile: 2 wins from 24; multiple placings.
Last run: Won RP 7f (good) by ¾L over Work Zone.
Positives: Confidence booster last start; can stalk.
Negatives: Faces deeper field here.
Number One Dude (Draw 7) – Wiseman / Williams
Profile: 4 wins from 30; multiple stakes wins at RP.
Last run: 2nd of 6 at RP 7f (good), just a head behind Excaping The Blues.
Positives: Classy; strong late kick.
Negatives: Needs pace to set up his run.
Sonic Posse (Draw 8) – Cabrera / Bravo
Profile: 4 wins from 16; sharp turn of foot.
Last run: Won RP 7f (good) by ¾L over Spoiler.
Positives: Outside draw suits his stalking style.
Negatives: Faces tougher company.
Pace & Race Shape
Likely leaders: Sonic Posse (8), Excaping The Blues (5)
Pressers: Tap The Dot (1), Good Swimmer (2)
Closers: Number One Dude (7), Country Caper (3), Red Mountain (4)
Shape projection: Honest pace; tactical speed should be rewarded, but a clean trip closer could pounce late.
Suggested Wagers
Win (primary): Excaping The Blues (5) — Acceptable down to 2/1; current form is irresistible.
Value Win/Place: Number One Dude (7) — Strong late kick; 9/2+ is playable.
Exacta: 5 with 1,7 (key fav over Tap The Dot/Number One Dude).
Trifecta: 5 over 1,7 over 1,2,3,7,8 — leverage favourite with value underneath.
Longshot exotics: Include Magna Tap (6) in 3rd for trifecta bombs.
Key Betting Angles
Excaping The Blues — Peak form, beat key rivals last start.
Number One Dude — Classy closer; dangerous if pace collapses.
Tap The Dot — Rail draw and tactical speed make him a live exotics player.
Sonic Posse — Outside stalker; could get first run on closers.
