MLB Game Preview: Minnesota Twins (62-78) vs. Kansas City Royals (71-69)

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Kansas City Royals logo

Venue & First Pitch

  • Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
  • Date: Friday, September 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Broadcast: FDSKC (KC), MNNT (MIN), MLB.TV
  • Capacity: 37,903

Weather Forecast (Kansas City – First Pitch)

  • Conditions: Partly cloudy, warm
  • Temperature: ~82°F (28°C)
  • Wind: SSW at 6–8 mph (slight boost to LF)
  • Precipitation: ~10%
  • Impact: Favorable hitting weather; minimal wind effect

Injury Report

Twins

  • Byron Buxton (knee) – 10‑day IL
  • Royce Lewis (hamstring) – 10‑day IL
  • Chris Paddack (elbow), Jhoan Duran (forearm) – 60‑day IL

Royals

  • Vinnie Pasquantino (shoulder) – 10‑day IL
  • MJ Melendez (wrist) – 10‑day IL
  • Brady Singer (elbow), Alec Marsh (shoulder) – 60‑day IL

Recent Form

Minnesota (Last 10): 3‑7, .238 AVG, 5.43 ERA, -21 run diff
Kansas City (Last 10): 5‑5, .249 AVG, 4.25 ERA, +3 run diff

Probable Pitchers

  • MIN: RHP Pablo López (5‑3, 2.82 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 152 K)
    • Last start: 7 IP, 1 ER vs. DET
    • Career vs. KC: 2‑1, 3.12 ERA in 5 starts
  • KC: RHP Michael Wacha (8‑11, 3.52 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 112 K)
  • Last start: 4.2 IP, 4 ER vs. DET
  • Career vs. MIN: 3‑2, 4.05 ERA in 8 starts

Key Player Matchups

  • Carlos Correa (MIN) vs. Michael Wacha
    • .308 AVG in 26 AB vs. Wacha; 2 HR, 6 RBI
  • Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) vs. Pablo López
    • .295 AVG, 21 HR, 77 RBI on season; 3‑for‑9 career vs. López
  • Max Kepler (MIN) – 4 HR in last 10 games; hot bat in middle of order
  • Maikel Garcia (KC) – .292 AVG, 34 doubles; table‑setter for Witt

Series History

  • All-Time: Twins lead 465‑428
  • 2025: 5‑5 split; MIN outscoring KC by 0.7 runs/game

Betting Trends

  • Royals: 35‑26 as favorite; 18‑16 when favored at -136 or shorter; UNDER in 7 of last 10 vs. MIN
  • Twins: 21‑34 as underdog; 11‑17 when +112 or longer; OVER in 65 of 139 games this season
  • Head-to-Head: Low-scoring trend — majority of 2025 meetings have gone UNDER

Game Odds

Minnesota Twins             8

Kansas City Royals           – 136

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, September 4, 2025