MLB Game Preview: Seattle Mariners (73-67) vs. Atlanta Braves (63-77)

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Atlanta Braves logo

Venue & First Pitch

  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
  • Date: Friday, September 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Broadcast: ROOT Sports NW (SEA), Bally Sports South (ATL), MLB.TV
  • Capacity: 41,084

Weather Forecast (Atlanta, GA – First Pitch)

  • Conditions: Mostly sunny, warm
  • Temperature: ~83°F (28°C)
  • Wind: SW at 5–10 mph
  • Precipitation: <5%
  • Impact: Favorable hitting weather; warm temps and light breeze could aid carry

Injury Report

Mariners

  • Luke Raley (side) – Day-to-day
  • Jackson Kowar (shoulder), Logan Evans (elbow), Gregory Santos (knee), Ryan Bliss (biceps) – IL

Braves

  • Austin Riley (abdominal) – 60‑day IL
  • Aaron Bummer (shoulder) – 15‑day IL
  • Grant Holmes (elbow), Spencer Schwellenbach (elbow), AJ Smith‑Shawver (calf/elbow), Reynaldo López (shoulder), Joe Jiménez (knee) – IL

Recent Form

Mariners (Last 10): 4‑6, .241 AVG, 5.39 ERA, -4 run diff

  • 3‑12 in last 15 road games; no road series wins in 2nd half

Braves (Last 10): 4‑6, .238 AVG, 4.06 ERA, +6 run diff

  • Offense averaging 5.6 runs/game since Aug. 7

Probable Pitchers

  • SEA: RHP Logan Gilbert (4‑6, 3.73 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 144 K)
    • Mariners 6‑13 in his starts; 1.02 WHIP ranks among AL’s best
  • ATL: LHP Chris Sale (5‑4, 2.45 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 123 K)
  • Returned from IL last week; 7 straight quality starts

Key Player Matchups

  • Cal Raleigh (SEA) vs. Chris Sale (ATL)
    • Raleigh: 51 HR, but 2nd‑half slump (.209 AVG, 31.2% K rate)
    • Sale: Extreme horizontal arm slot; tough on LHBs
  • Matt Olson (ATL) vs. Logan Gilbert (SEA)
    • Olson: 36 doubles, 21 HR, 77 RBI; platoon edge vs. RHP
  • Jorge Polanco (SEA) vs. ATL Bullpen
    • Polanco: 12-for-35 last 10 games, 4 HR
  • Ozzie Albies (ATL) vs. SEA Pitching
  • Albies: 15-for-40 last 10 games, 5 HR, 13 RBI

Series History

  • All-Time: Mariners lead 12‑9
  • Last Meeting: 2023 — Mariners won series 2‑1 at T‑Mobile Park

Betting Trends

  • Braves: 50.5% win rate as favorite; OVER in 62 of 139 games
  • Mariners: 47.6% win rate as underdog; 2nd in AL in HR (200)
  • Head-to-Head: UNDER in 4 of last 6 meetings

Game Odds

Seattle Mariners              7.5

Atlanta Braves                  – 136

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, September 4, 2025