MLB Game Preview: new York Mets (75-56) vs. Cincinnati Reds (70-70)

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Cincinnati Reds logo

Venue & First Pitch

  • Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Date: Friday, September 5, 2025
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Broadcast: SNY (NY), Bally Sports Ohio (CIN), MLB.TV (out-of-market)
  • Capacity: 42,319

Weather Forecast (Cincinnati, OH – First Pitch)

  • Conditions: Mostly clear, warm
  • Temperature: ~80°F (27°C)
  • Wind: SW at 5–7 mph (slight boost to balls hit toward RF)
  • Precipitation: <5%
  • Impact: Favorable hitting conditions

Injury Report

Mets

  • Francisco Álvarez (thumb) – Activated from IL, starting tonight
  • Tyrone Taylor (hamstring) – 10‑day IL
  • Multiple pitchers on 60‑day IL (Montas, Megill, Minter, etc.)

Reds

  • Tyler Stephenson (thumb) – Activated from IL today
  • Nick Lodolo (illness) – Day-to-day
  • Graham Ashcraft, Wade Miley, Rhett Lowder – IL (various arm injuries)

Recent Form

Mets (Last 5): L‑W‑W‑L‑L

  • Won 2 of 3 at Detroit; offense hot with RISP since mid‑August (.377 AVG in that span)
  • Juan Soto: .429 AVG, 1.558 OPS with RISP since Aug. 12

Reds (Last 5): L‑L‑W‑W‑L

  • Lost 2 of 3 to Toronto; bullpen issues, have lost 10 of last 13 overall
  • Noelvi Marte: .292 AVG, .844 OPS; Elly De La Cruz in slump (.217 AVG since Aug. 1)

Projected Starting Pitchers

  • NYM: LHP David Peterson (8‑5, 3.61 ERA, 1.31 WHIP)
    • Last start: 2 IP, 8 ER vs. MIA
    • Career vs. CIN: 0‑1, 4.34 ERA in 4 starts
  • CIN: LHP Andrew Abbott (8‑5, 2.65 ERA, 1.12 WHIP)
  • Last start: 5 IP, 2 ER vs. STL
  • Career vs. NYM: 0‑1, 3.68 ERA in 3 starts

Key Player Matchups

  • Juan Soto (NYM) vs. Andrew Abbott (CIN)
    • Soto’s power surge vs. LHP will test Abbott’s command.
  • Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Reds Bullpen
    • Alonso: 4 HR in last 10 games; Reds’ pen has 5.63 ERA last 10 games.
  • Elly De La Cruz (CIN) vs. Mets Infield Defense
  • Speed threat (32 SB) despite slump; could pressure NYM defense.

Series History

  • All-Time: Reds lead 335‑308
  • 2025: Reds lead 2‑1; Mets need sweep to win season series/tiebreaker.

Betting Trends

  • Mets: 6‑4 last 10; OVER in 6 of last 8 games
  • Reds: 3‑7 last 10; OVER in 4 of last 5 games
  • Head-to-Head: OVER in 4 of last 6 meetings

Game Odds

New York Mets                 – 136

Cincinnati Reds                 9

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Thursday, September 4, 2025