NAIA-CFB Game Preview: Mount Marty Lancers (1-0) vs. Waldorf Warriors (0-1)

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Venue, Date & Time

Conference: Great Plains Athletic Conference (GPAC)

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025

Kickoff: 5:00 PM CDT

Venue: Bolstorff Field, Forest City, Iowa

Event Theme: Community Night at Waldorf

Weather Forecast (Forest City, IA – Game Day)

Conditions: Mostly sunny with a few scattered clouds

Temperature at Kickoff: ~80°F (27°C)

Wind: 5–8 mph from the south-southwest

Precipitation Chance: <10%

Impact on Play: Ideal early-season conditions; minimal weather-related impact expected.

Injury Report (as of latest available updates)

Mount Marty Lancers

No major injuries reported after Week 1 at Clarke University.

QB Rugby Ryken and WR Trey Hansen expected to start; OL depth being monitored after minor camp knocks.

Waldorf Warriors

No official injury list released after Week 1 at Northwestern (IA).

Starting QB Louis Williams and RB Rocky Ketchum expected to be available.

Recent Team Form

Mount Marty Lancers

2024 Record: 6–5 overall, 5–5 GPAC

Ended 2024 with a 56–7 win over Waldorf on Lancer Days.

Offense averaged 28.9 PPG; defense allowed 24.7 PPG.

Waldorf Warriors

2024 Record: 0–11 overall, 0–10 GPAC

Struggled on both sides of the ball; offense averaged 12.4 PPG, defense allowed 41.6 PPG.

Looking for first win since 2022.

Series History

All-Time: Mount Marty leads 1–0

Last Meeting: Sept. 21, 2024 – Mount Marty 56, Waldorf 7 (Yankton, SD)

Notable: In the only meeting, MMU scored in all three phases — offense, defense, and special teams.

Betting Trends

Mount Marty is 5-2 ATS in last 7 GPAC games.

Waldorf is 0-10 SU in last 10 GPAC games.

The Over has hit in 4 of MMU’s last 6 games.

Waldorf has lost 7 straight home games by an average margin of 26.4 points.

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

Historical scoring margin in series (+49 for MMU in 2024).

Waldorf’s offensive struggles vs. MMU’s defensive efficiency.

MMU’s balanced attack and special teams edge.

Weather: Neutral impact.

Game Odds

Mount Marty Lancers    – 21.5

Waldorf Warriors             54.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, September 5, 2025