MLB Game Preview: Texas Rangers (72-67) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (68-71)

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Game Overview

  • Date & Time: Tuesday, September 2, 2025 – First Pitch 9:40 p.m. ET / 6:40 p.m. PT
  • Venue: Chase Field, 401 East Jefferson Street, Phoenix, AZ 85004
  • Surface: Natural Grass (retractable roof)
  • Broadcast: ARID (Arizona), RSN (Texas), MLB.tv (out-of-market)

Weather Report (Phoenix, AZ – Game Time)

  • Conditions: Hot desert evening; roof likely closed for climate control
  • Temperature: ~100°F outside; ~72°F inside if roof closed
  • Wind: Minimal impact indoors; if open, ~6–8 mph toward right-center
  • Impact: Neutral hitting environment if roof closed; slight LHB boost if open

Injury Report

Texas Rangers

  • 10‑Day IL: Corey Seager (appendectomy), Marcus Semien (foot), Jake Burger (wrist), Sam Haggerty (oblique)
  • 15‑Day IL: Nathan Eovaldi (rotator cuff), Cole Winn (nerve), Jon Gray (shoulder), Chris Martin (calf)
  • 60‑Day IL: Evan Carter (wrist), Tyler Mahle (shoulder), Cody Bradford (elbow), Josh Sborz (shoulder)

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • 10‑Day IL: Pavin Smith (quadriceps)
  • 15‑Day IL: Anthony DeSclafani (thumb), Ryan Thompson (scapular strain)
  • 60‑Day IL: Kevin Ginkel (shoulder), Tommy Henry (elbow), Christian Montes De Oca (elbow), Justin Martinez (elbow), Cristian Mena (shoulder), Corbin Burnes (elbow), A.J. Puk (elbow), Blake Walston (elbow)

Team Records & Form

Recent Form:

  • Rangers: Six‑game win streak; averaging 7.6 runs/game last 10; bullpen ERA 3.81 over past week.
  • Diamondbacks: 5.1 runs/game last 10; 7–3 ATS in that span; inconsistent offense (4 games of 6+ runs, 6 games ≤2 runs).

Projected Starting Pitchers

  • TEX: LHP Jacob Latz (1–0, 3.13 ERA, 1.28 WHIP) – Likely spot start; 5 ER over last 20.1 IP; 17 K in that span; works in traffic but limits damage.
  • ARI: RHP Nabil Crismatt (2–0, 1.84 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) – 3 ER over 14.2 IP; induces soft contact; WHIP suggests possible regression.

Key Player Matchups

Rangers Offense vs. Crismatt

  • Wyatt Langford (.249/.343/.444, 21 HR, 58 RBI, 18 SB) – HR in opener; .263 BA on road vs. .234 at home.
  • Adolis García (.247, 73 RBI) – Team RBI leader; power bat in middle of order.
  • Josh Smith (.256, 22 2B, 9 HR) – OBP asset; 46 BB.

Diamondbacks Offense vs. Latz

  • Geraldo Perdomo (.285, 16 HR, 88 RBI) – Team RBI leader; .095 BA last 5 games but still a contact threat.
  • Corbin Carroll (.290, 29 HR, 71 RBI) – 4-game hit streak; .300 BA last 5 games with 2 HR.
  • Ketel Marte (.290, 21 HR) – Team BA leader; .294 BA last 5 games.

Series History

  • All-Time: Rangers lead 35–30 overall (reg. + postseason)
  • 2025 Season: Diamondbacks lead 2–1 entering tonight
  • Postseason: Rangers won 2023 World Series vs. D‑backs in 5 games
  • Recent Trend: 5 of last 7 meetings have gone Over 9 runs

Betting Trends

  • Rangers: 8–2 ATS last 10; Over in 6 of last 10 road games
  • Diamondbacks: 7–3 ATS last 10; Over in 5 of last 10 overall
  • Rangers: 18–6 as road underdogs since July 1
  • Diamondbacks: 23–27 as home favorites in 2025

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

  • Rangers’ offensive surge (7.6 runs/game last 10) vs. D‑backs’ inconsistent scoring
  • Bullpen edge to Texas in recent form
  • Crismatt’s low ERA vs. underlying WHIP regression risk
  • Chase Field’s 2025 run factor ~neutral, HR factor slightly pitcher-friendly

Game Odds

Texas Rangers                    9

Arizona Diamondbacks – 108

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Monday, September 1, 2025