D2 CFB Game Preview: Pace Setters (0-1) vs. East Stroudsburg Warriors (0-1)

0
28

Venue & Game Info

Date & Time: Thursday, September 4, 2025 – 7:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Northwell Stadium, Pleasantville, NY

Surface: Artificial Turf

Capacity: ~3,500

Broadcast: NE10 Now on FloSports (subscription), Radio: Bigfoot Country Poconos 96.7/97.3 FM

Weather Forecast (Pleasantville, NY – Kickoff)

Conditions: Mostly cloudy with a chance of light showers

Temperature: ~78°F (26°C) at kickoff, cooling to ~70°F by the 4th quarter

Wind: SSE at 5–8 mph

Humidity: ~65%

Impact: Mild — possible slick turf if showers occur, but wind should not significantly affect passing or kicking.

Injury Report

Pace: No major injuries reported; RB Tyreek Smith and WR Israel Lopez both available after strong 2024 campaigns.

East Stroudsburg: No significant absences; RB duo Tyriq Lewis and Tahir Mills healthy after combining for 174 rush yards in Week 0 vs. Edinboro.

Recent Team Form

Team

Pace Setters

Last 5 games: L 14–41 @ New Haven, L 7–14 vs Assumption, L 30–35 @ S. Connecticut, L 7–14 vs AIC, W 26–20 vs St. Anselm

Notable Trends: 1–4 in last 5; offense averaged just 16.2 ppg; defense kept 3 games within one score.

Team

East Stroudsburg Warriors

Last 5 Games: L 14–29 vs Edinboro, W 22–19 @ Clarion, W 28–7 vs Shepherd, W 45–0 @ Shippensburg, W 38–35 vs Lock Haven

Notable Trends: 4–1 in last 5; balanced offense, opportunistic defense (forced 3 turnovers vs Edinboro in 2025 opener).

Series History

All-Time: East Stroudsburg leads 5–1

Last Meeting: Sept. 5, 2024 – ESU 41, Pace 6 (in Pleasantville)

Notable: ESU has won the last two meetings by a combined 103–15; Pace’s lone win came in 2022 (31–16 at home).

Largest Margin: ESU 62–9 (2023).

Betting Trends

ESU: 4‑1 ATS in last 5 games; 5‑1 SU vs Pace all‑time.

Pace: 2‑8 ATS in last 10 overall; 1‑4 ATS in last 5 home games.

Over has hit in 3 of last 4 ESU games vs NE10 opponents.

ESU has scored 40+ in 3 of last 4 meetings with Pace.

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

ESU’s rushing efficiency + turnover margin advantage (top‑10 nationally in 2024).

Pace’s offensive struggles vs top PSAC defenses.

Historical scoring margins in series.

Edges:

Lean: East Stroudsburg ‑17.5 (moderate value)

Total: Lean Over 50.5 — ESU’s offense likely to produce 30+; Pace could find late points.

Game Odds

Pace Setters                                       50.5

East Stroudsburg Warriors           – 17.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Wednesday, September 3, 2025