MLB Game Preview: New York Mets (73-64) vs. Detroit Tigers (80-58)

Venue & Game Info

• Date & Time: Monday, September 1, 2025 – First pitch 1:10 PM ET
• Venue: Comerica Park, 2100 Woodward Avenue, Detroit, MI 48226
• Broadcast: FDSDET (Detroit), SNY (New York), MLB Network (out‑of‑market)

Weather Forecast (Detroit, MI)

• Conditions: Mostly sunny, 78°F (26°C)
• Humidity: ~42%
• Wind: 8–10 mph, light breeze out to right-center
• Precipitation: 0% chance — hitter‑friendly afternoon

Injury Report

New York Mets

• Francisco Álvarez (C) – 10‑Day IL, thumb
• Reed Garrett (RP) – 15‑Day IL, elbow
• Frankie Montas (SP) – 60‑Day IL, elbow
• Jesse Winker (LF) – 60‑Day IL, back
• Max Kranick (SP) – 60‑Day IL, elbow
• Dedniel Núñez (RP) – 60‑Day IL, elbow
• Tylor Megill (SP) – 60‑Day IL, elbow
• Griffin Canning (SP) – 60‑Day IL, Achilles
• José Siri (CF) – 60‑Day IL, shin
• Danny Young (RP) – 60‑Day IL, elbow
• A.J. Minter (RP) – 60‑Day IL, lat
• Nick Madrigal (INF) – 60‑Day IL, shoulder
• Drew Smith (RP) – 60‑Day IL, elbow
• Christian Scott (SP) – 60‑Day IL, elbow

Detroit Tigers

• Matt Vierling (OF) – 10‑Day IL, oblique
• Parker Meadows (OF) – 10‑Day IL, quadriceps
• Paul Sewald (RP) – 60‑Day IL, shoulder
• Reese Olson (SP) – 60‑Day IL, shoulder
• Sean Guenther (RP) – 60‑Day IL, hip
• Jackson Jobe (SP) – 60‑Day IL, flexor strain
• Jason Foley (RP) – 60‑Day IL, shoulder
• Alex Cobb (SP) – 60‑Day IL, hip
• Ty Madden (SP) – 60‑Day IL, shoulder
• José Urquidy (SP) – 60‑Day IL, elbow

Projected Starting Pitchers

• NYM: LHP Sean Manaea (1‑2, 5.01 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 11.5 K/9) – Coming off a 7.13 ERA August, but 3‑2 lifetime vs. DET with a 3.35 ERA.
• DET: RHP Charlie Morton (9‑10, 5.25 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 9.6 K/9) – 7‑7 career vs. NYM, 3.75 ERA; has allowed 20 HR in 2025.

Key Player Matchups

Mets Bats vs. Morton

• Juan Soto: 8‑for‑14 (.571), 3 HR, 1.942 OPS lifetime vs. Morton — elite matchup edge.
• Pete Alonso: .269 AVG, 31 HR, 110 RBI — power anchor in middle of order.
• Francisco Lindor: .268 AVG, 26 HR, 28 doubles — struggles vs. Morton (.160 AVG in 50 AB).
• Brandon Nimmo: .264 AVG, 27 doubles, 22 HR — .412 AVG over last 10 games.

Tigers Bats vs. Manaea

• Riley Greene: .269 AVG, 32 HR, 101 RBI — 8th in MLB HR, 5th in RBI.
• Gleyber Torres: .265 AVG, 14 HR, 71 BB — disciplined bat in 2‑hole.
• Spencer Torkelson: .235 AVG, 28 HR, 25 doubles — power upside vs. LHP.
• Zach McKinstry: .261 AVG, 10 triples, 11 HR — speed/versatility threat.

Recent Form

New York Mets

• Last 10: 6‑4 (.321 AVG, 4.55 ERA, +28 run diff)
• Dropped 3 of 4 to Miami before this series
• Road record: 28‑37

Detroit Tigers

• Last 10: 5‑5 (.252 AVG, 4.24 ERA, -1 run diff)
• Took 2 of 3 from Kansas City, closing with 5‑0 shutout
• Home record: 44‑25

Series History

• 2025 Season: First meeting
• 2024 Season: Tigers won 2 of 3
• All‑time: Mets lead 20‑15

Betting Trends

New York Mets

• 57.3% win rate as favorite (55‑41)
• Over in 7 of last 10 games
• 6‑4 ATS last 10

Detroit Tigers

• 47.5% win rate as underdog (19‑21)
• Over in 5 of last 10 games
• 5‑5 ATS last 10
• Under has hit in last 4 games

Suggested Wagering Model

Model Inputs:

• Soto’s dominance vs. Morton
• Mets’ offensive surge (.321 AVG last 10) vs. Tigers’ strong home record
• Both starters with ERAs north of 5.00 in 2025
• Comerica Park’s spacious gaps but warm weather aiding carry