MLB Game Preview: Milwaukee Brewers (85-52) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (78-58)

Venue & Game Info

• Date: Sunday, August 31, 2025
• First Pitch: 1:37 PM ET / 10:37 AM PT
• Venue: Rogers Centre, One Blue Jays Way, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
• Surface: Artificial turf
• Broadcast: MLB Network (national), Sportsnet (Canada), Bally Sports Wisconsin (Milwaukee), MLB.TV

Weather Update

• Conditions: Retractable roof stadium — weather will not impact play.
• Outside Forecast (Toronto): Mostly sunny, ~77°F (25°C), light NW breeze 5–7 mph, humidity ~60%.

Injury / Suspension Report

Milwaukee Brewers:

• Logan Henderson (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)
• Trevor Megill (RHP) – 15‑Day IL (flexor strain)
• Grant Anderson (RHP) – 15‑Day IL (ankle)
• Joey Ortiz (INF) – 10‑Day IL (hamstring)
• D.L. Hall (LHP) – 15‑Day IL (oblique)
• Jordan Montgomery (LHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)
• Rhys Hoskins (1B) – 10‑Day IL (thumb)
• Garrett Mitchell (OF) – 60‑Day IL (oblique)
• Connor Thomas (LHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)

Toronto Blue Jays:

• Daulton Varsho (OF) – Day‑to‑day (hand)
• Bowden Francis (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
• Ryan Burr (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
• Nick Sandlin (RHP) – 15‑Day IL (elbow)
• Yimi García (RHP) – 15‑Day IL (ankle)
• Anthony Santander (OF) – 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
• Alek Manoah (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)
• Angel Bastardo (RHP) – 60‑Day IL (elbow)

Probable Pitchers

• MIL: RHP Brandon Woodruff (5‑1, 3.10 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 63 K in 49.1 IP)
  • Elite command (2.2 BB/9) and strikeout rate (11.5 K/9).
  • Brewers are 8‑1 in his 9 starts this season.
• TOR: RHP Max Scherzer (5‑2, 3.82 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 61 K in 66 IP)

• 3 straight wins in his last 3 starts; 2.2 BB/9, 8.3 K/9.
• Veteran presence in big games; thrives at home.

Recent Form

Milwaukee Brewers – Last 5: W‑W‑L‑L‑W

• Won first two games of this series (7‑2, 4‑1).
• 6‑4 in last 10; averaging 4.9 runs/game in that span.
• Road record: 40‑28; 25‑16 in interleague play.

Toronto Blue Jays – Last 5: L‑L‑W‑L‑W

• Lost first two games of this series; offense cooled after scoring 24 runs in previous series vs. MIN.
• 5‑5 in last 10; averaging 5.3 runs/game in that span.
• Home record: 44‑24; 40‑30 as favorite this season.

Series History

• 2025 Season Series: Brewers lead 2‑0.
• Brewers 7‑3 in last 10 vs. Toronto.
• Last sweep by MIL over TOR came in 2017.

Key Player Matchups

• Christian Yelich (MIL) vs. Max Scherzer
  • Yelich: .270 AVG, 27 HR, 92 RBI; patient approach could work counts vs. Scherzer.
• Jackson Chourio (MIL) vs. Blue Jays Bullpen
  • Chourio: .278 AVG, 18 HR, 68 RBI, 18 SB; batting .400 with 1.105 OPS over last 15 games.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs. Brandon Woodruff
  • Guerrero: 30 2B, 21 HR; power to all fields, but Woodruff’s high fastball could neutralize him.
• George Springer (TOR) vs. Brewers Middle Relief
• Springer: 15‑for‑40 (.375) last 10 games with 5 HR; thrives in late‑inning spots.

Betting Trends

Milwaukee Brewers:

• 7‑3 last 10 vs. Toronto.
• 55‑29 after a win this season.
• 8‑1 in Woodruff’s starts in 2025.

Toronto Blue Jays:

• 2‑4 last 6 overall.
• Over is 41‑25‑2 in home games this season.
• 3‑0 in Scherzer’s last 3 starts.

Head‑to‑Head:

• Under is 3‑1 in last 4 meetings.
• Home team is 4‑2 in last 6 matchups.

Suggested Wagering Model

Primary Lean: Brewers Moneyline (+101)

• Milwaukee’s momentum, Woodruff’s dominance, and Toronto’s recent offensive dip tilt value toward the road side.

Secondary Lean: Under 8.5 Runs (‑110)

• Two elite starters, both capable of working deep into games; bullpens rested after low‑scoring first two games.

Prop Angle: Jackson Chourio to Record 2+ Total Bases

• Red‑hot form, multi‑hit potential, and speed to stretch singles into doubles.