MLB Game Preview: Houston Astros (71-58) vs. Baltimore Orioles (59-69)

Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
TV: MASN, ESPN+

Team Records & Recent Form

The Houston Astros enter at 71–58 overall and 33–31 on the road. They’ve dropped six of their last ten games, posting a combined .191 batting average and 6.12 ERA while being outscored by 36 runs .

The Baltimore Orioles sit at 59–69 overall and 30–32 at home. Baltimore has gone 6–4 over its past ten, hitting .254 as a club, carrying a 2.96 staff ERA, and outscoring opponents by 16 runs in that span .

Season Series

Houston holds a 3–2 edge in the 2025 season series, taking the first two games of this four-game set in Baltimore .

Probable Pitchers

Team	Starter	W–L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Astros	Cristian Javier (R)	1–1	3.38	1.00	7
Orioles	Dean Kremer (R)	9–9	3.97	1.22	123

Javier’s allowed two runs or fewer in three of his last four outings and will look to refocus after a rough August. Kremer has logged back-to-back quality starts, blanking Houston on three hits over seven innings in his last bid .

Key Matchups

• Gunnar Henderson vs. Cristian Javier
  Henderson leads Baltimore with a .281 average, 15 home runs and 57 RBI, riding a four-game hitting streak into this one .
• Jose Altuve vs. Dean Kremer
  Altuve is 8-for-17 (.471) with a 1.294 OPS against Kremer in his career, including a homer and three walks in five plate appearances this season.
• Jeremy Peña vs. Dean Kremer
  Peña paces Houston with a .307 batting average, ranking 113th in home runs and batting .333 with two homers over his last 10 contests.
• Jackson Holliday vs. Cristian Javier
  Holliday has collected hits in all four games since his promotion, batting .263 with a double, seven walks and two RBI over his last five starts.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore has won 27 of 59 games as moneyline favorites (45.8%).
• Houston is 25–17 when listed at +108 or worse on the moneyline (59.5%).
• The Orioles are 8–2–0 ATS in their last ten outings; Astros games have gone over in seven of their last ten with a set total.

What to Watch

• Kremer’s Third Time Through Order: His splitter command against Houston’s lineup will dictate if Atlanta’s top prospects can extend innings.
• Javier’s Curveball Adjustment: Can he get ahead with off-speed to neutralize Henderson and Holliday?
• Craig Kimbrel’s Debut: The veteran righty could see high-leverage work if this game stays close late.
• Weather & Park Factors: Calm, clear skies with a light easterly breeze (5 mph) favor fly balls carrying into Camden Yards’ dimensions.

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