MLB Game Preview: Toronto Blue Jays (75-54) vs. Miami Marlins (60-68)

Time: 4:10 PM ET
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
TV: MLB Network, ESPN+

Team Records & Recent Form

Toronto enters at 75–54 overall and 33–33 on the road, coming off a 6–4 win in their last outing to stay atop the AL East.
Miami sits at 60–68 overall and 29–34 at home, having dropped three of their past five games and been outscored by five runs in that stretch.

Season Series

This marks the second meeting of the season after Toronto took Game 1 by a 5–2 score. The Blue Jays lead the season series 1–0 heading into Saturday’s contest.

Probable Pitchers

Team	Starter	2025 Stats
Blue Jays	Jose Berrios (R)	9–5, 4.00 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 121 K
Marlins	Janson Junk (R)	6–2, 4.04 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 58 K

Berrios has recorded seven quality starts in his last 10 outings but yielded six runs in 4⅓ innings in his most recent start. Junk aims for his third win in four turns, blanking opponents over five frames in his last trip to the bump.

Key Players to Watch

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR): .298 AVG, 21 HR, 69 RBI; ranks second on the club with 51 extra-base hits and has homered in two of his past five games.
• Alejandro Kirk (TOR): 8-for-33, 3 HR, 9 RBI over last 10 games; his contact rate will be crucial against Junk’s sinker-heavy arsenal.
• Xavier Edwards (MIA): teams-high .299 AVG and 27 doubles; his ability to slap the ball all over the field can ignite Miami’s offense.
• Otto Lopez (MIA): .240 AVG, 11 HR, 17 doubles; Lopez’s extra-base power against righties could turn the tide if Miami gets men on base.

Toronto is 60–23 this season when recording at least eight hits, while Miami is 49–10 in games they out-hit opponents. The implied win probability sits at 58% for Toronto and 46% for Miami.

With Berrios settling in after a rough start last time out and Toronto’s lineup clicking against right-handed pitching, the Blue Jays should clinch the series win. Miami’s offense struggles on days they don’t string hits together will be hard to overcome against Toronto’s bullpen, which ranks fourth in MLB in inherited runners stranded.

What to Watch

• Can Berrios pitch at least six innings for his 10th quality start, or will Junk silence Toronto’s middle of the order?
• How will Miami’s bullpen handle Kirk and Guerrero Jr. in high-leverage spots?
• Will the afternoon heat (forecasted 89°F with 60% humidity) sap pitchers’ velocity and lead to more offense late in the game?

More to Consider

• Miami’s next three games see them back in the NL East mix—lineup adjustments here could ripple through the rest of the homestand.
• Toronto prospects Yonny Hernández and Orelvis Martínez have been tearing it up in Triple-A; watch for a late-season call-up scenario.
• In-game angles: monitor wind patterns off the right-field wall at loanDepot park—gusts out could push this one over the total if both starters falter.