MLB Game Preview: Baltimore Orioles (56-67) vs. Houston Astros (69-54)

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Houston Astros logo

Daikin Park, Houston, TX
First Pitch: 2:10 PM ET
Broadcast: ESPN, FOX Sports Southwest


Team Records & Form

TeamRecordLast 10 GamesRoad/Home SplitSeason Series
Astros69–546–4 (.242 AVG)38–26 at homeTied 1–1
Orioles56–675–5 (.199 AVG)26–37 on roadTied 1–1

Houston looks to clinch the series behind a resurgent Cristian Javier, while Baltimore continues to showcase its young core led by Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday.

Pitching Matchup

PitcherTeamW–LERAWHIPK/BBNotes
Cristian JavierAstros1–03.601.005/2Returned from Tommy John; 5 IP, 5 K in season debut
Dean KremerOrioles8–94.171.25116/383–0 career vs HOU with 1.82 ERA

Javier is making his second start of the season after a 14-month layoff. Kremer has dominated the Astros historically, including a complete game win in 2022.

Key Hitters to Watch

Houston Astros

  • Jose Altuve: .465 SLG, 22 HR, 18 doubles
  • Jeremy Peña: .317 AVG, 2 HR, 5 RBI in last 10 games
  • Yainer Diaz: .252 AVG, 17 HR, 16 doubles

Baltimore Orioles

  • Gunnar Henderson: .280 AVG, 14 HR, 53 RBI
  • Jackson Holliday: 15 HR, .257 xBA, .434 xSLG
  • Adley Rutschman: .228 AVG, 9 HR, 37 walks

Game Trends & Betting Insights

  • Astros: 53% win rate when favored; 69.2% win rate at -137 or better
  • Orioles: 46% win rate as underdogs; 4–3 in last 7 games as dogs
  • Over/Under: UNDER has hit in 6 of last 10 Orioles games; Astros trending OVER
  • Prediction: Astros 4, Orioles 3 (Under 8.5 runs)

Injury Report

Houston Astros

  • Yordan Alvarez (hand), Josh Hader (shoulder), Jeremy Peña (illness), Lance McCullers (finger), Luis Garcia (elbow), J.P. France (shoulder) – IL

Baltimore Orioles

  • Tyler O’Neill (wrist), Colton Cowser (head), Grayson Rodriguez (elbow), Jorge Mateo (elbow), Felix Bautista (shoulder) – IL

GAME ODDS

Baltimore Orioles            8.5

Houston Astros                 – 137

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, August 16, 2025