MLB Game Preview: Houston Astros (64-50) vs. Miami Marlins (55-57)

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Miami Marlins logo

Game Overview

  • Time: 4:40 PM ET / 1:40 PM PT
  • Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
  • Broadcast: Space City Home Network, Bally Sports Florida, MLB Network, Fubo (regional restrictions)
    This is the final game of a three-game series, with the Astros aiming for a series sweep after back-to-back wins. Houston has outscored Miami 22–6 over the first two games, while the Marlins look to salvage a win and stay competitive in the NL East.

Pitching Matchup

  • Spencer Arrighetti returns from a four-month IL stint (thumb injury) and makes his third start of the season. He’s held opponents to a .121 batting average but has struggled with command.
  • Janson Junk has been a reliable arm for Miami, averaging 5.0 innings per start and posting a solid WHIP. He’s looking to bounce back after allowing six earned runs to the Yankees in his last outing.

Team Performance Snapshot
Houston Astros

  • Record: 64–50 (1st in AL West)
  • Road Record: 29–26
  • Batting Average: .257 (2nd in MLB)
  • Slugging %: .405 (14th)
  • Home Runs: 125 (15th)
  • Runs Scored: 493 (17th)
  • Team ERA: 3.70 (3rd in AL)
  • Miami Marlins
  • Record: 55–57 (3rd in NL East)
  • Home Record: 27–31
  • Batting Average: .252 (8th in MLB)
  • Slugging %: .396 (17th)
  • Home Runs: 109 (24th)
  • Runs Scored: 480 (20th)
  • Team ERA: 4.29 (10th in NL)

Players to Watch
Houston Astros

  • Jose Altuve: .281 AVG, 19 HR, 17 doubles, 59 RBIs
  • Yainer Diaz: 12-for-35 with 2 doubles and 3 HR in last 10 games
  • Jeremy Peña: 2 doubles and 1 RBI in Monday’s win
  • Miami Marlins
  • Kyle Stowers: .293 AVG, 25 HR, 18 doubles, 3 triples
  • Javier Sanoja: 10-for-30 with 2 doubles, 1 triple, 3 HR in last 10 games
  • Jesús Sánchez: RBI double vs. former team Monday

Betting Trends

  • Astros ATS: 57–57
  • Marlins ATS: 68–44
  • Astros are 43–36 when favored by -111 or more
  • Marlins are 43–19 when recording 8+ hits
  • Over 8.5 runs has hit in 51 of Miami’s 112 games

Injury Report
Houston Astros

  • Yordan Alvarez (hand), Isaac Paredes (hamstring), Lance McCullers (finger) – IL
  • Brendan Rodgers, Pedro Leon, Spencer Arrighetti – 60-day IL
  • Ronel Blanco, Cristian Javier, Luis Garcia – 60-day IL
  • Miami Marlins
  • Jesus Tinoco (forearm), Max Meyer (hip), Ryan Weathers (lat) – IL
  • Connor Norby (wrist), Griffin Conine (arm), Andrew Nardi (back) – 60-day IL
  • Braxton Garrett (elbow) – 60-day IL

Final Thoughts
The Astros vs. Marlins matchup at loanDepot park wraps up a high-scoring series with Houston in control. With Spencer Arrighetti returning to the mound and the Astros’ offense clicking, they’re poised to complete the sweep. The Marlins will need a strong outing from Janson Junk and timely hitting to avoid falling further behind in the NL Wild Card race.

Game Odds

Houston Astros                 8

Miami Marlins                  – 118

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Tuesday, August 5, 2025