MLB Game Preview: Cleveland Guardians (56-55) vs. New York Mets (63-49)

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The New York Mets host the Cleveland Guardians, kicking off a three-game interleague series. With both teams in playoff contention, this Guardians vs Mets MLB matchup features elite talent, strategic pitching, and strong betting angles.

Game Overview

CategoryCleveland GuardiansNew York Mets
Record56–55 (2nd in AL Central)63–49 (2nd in NL East)
Road/Home Split27–28 (Road)38–18 (Home)
Betting OddsGuardians +150Mets -181
Over/Under8.5 runs

The Mets are favored due to their dominant home record and recent offensive surge, while the Guardians aim to stay in the AL Wild Card race.

Pitching Matchup

  • Guardians Starter: Slade Cecconi
    • Record: 5–4
    • ERA: 3.77
    • WHIP: 1.22
    • Strikeouts: 63
    • Last Start: 7 IP, 3 ER vs Rockies
  • Mets Starter: Sean Manaea
  • Record: 1–1
  • ERA: 2.08
  • WHIP: 0.86
  • Strikeouts: 22
  • Last Start: 5 IP, 1 ER vs Padres

Manaea has been sharp in limited action, while Cecconi offers durability and control. Expect a low-scoring duel early.

Key Players to Watch

New York Mets

  • Pete Alonso: .260 AVG, 24 HR, 86 RBI – Top 15 in MLB for HR and RBI
  • Juan Soto: .247 AVG, 25 HR, 63 RBI – Elite OBP and slugging, despite recent slump
  • Francisco Lindor: .251 AVG, 21 HR, 21 doubles – Batting .263 over last 5 games

Cleveland Guardians

  • José Ramírez: .302 AVG, 23 HR, 61 RBI – Batting .450 over last 5 games
  • Steven Kwan: .281 AVG, 20 doubles, 9 HR – Consistent contact hitter
  • Carlos Santana: 11 HR, 47 walks – Veteran presence with power potential

Recent Form & Trends

TeamLast 10 GamesBatting AvgERARun Differential
Mets5–5.2344.59–2
Guardians5–5.2723.40+6

Cleveland’s offense has outperformed New York’s recently, but the Mets’ bullpen and home-field advantage remain key assets.

The Mets have won 84% of games when favored by -181 or more, making them a strong pick at home.

How to Watch

  • TV Broadcast: SNY (New York), Bally Sports Great Lakes (Cleveland)
  • Streaming: MLB.TV, Fubo, FOX Sports App

Final Thoughts

This Guardians vs Mets MLB game is a compelling clash between two playoff hopefuls. With Sean Manaea’s sharp form and Pete Alonso’s power, the Mets are poised to take Game 1 at Citi Field. Cleveland’s offense, led by José Ramírez, could keep it close, but New York’s home dominance tips the scales.

Game Odds

Cleveland Guardians      8

New York Mets                 – 187

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Sunday, August 3, 2025