MLB Game Preview: Cincinnati Reds (52-47) vs. New York Mets (55-44)

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Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET
Watch Live: ESPN, MLB.TV, WPIX

After winning the first two games of the series, including a 5–2 victory on Saturday, the Reds are riding a wave of momentum behind elite pitching and timely hitting.

The Mets, meanwhile, are trying to snap a three-game home losing streak, despite boasting one of the best home records in MLB (33–16 at Citi Field). With playoff positioning on the line, expect a tightly contested finale.

Starting Pitchers – July 20, 2025

TeamPitcherRecordERAWHIPStrikeouts
RedsAndrew Abbott (LHP)8–12.071.0898
MetsDavid Peterson (LHP)5–63.881.3184
  • Andrew Abbott has been sensational, allowing one earned run or fewer in five of his last six starts. He pitched a clean inning in the All-Star Game and enters Sunday with a 3–0 record over his last six outings.
  • David Peterson has quietly turned a corner, giving up just one earned run in each of his last two starts. He’s topped his strikeout prop in two of his last three appearances.

Players to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

  • Elly De La Cruz: .280 AVG, 18 HR, 64 RBI; ranks top 30 in MLB for both HR and RBI
  • TJ Friedl: .270 AVG, 15 doubles, 9 HR, 46 walks; consistent top-of-the-order threat
  • Austin Hays: 11-for-33 with 3 HR and 10 RBI over last 10 games

New York Mets

  • Juan Soto: 24 HR, 57 RBI, .259 AVG; ranks 10th in MLB in home runs
  • Pete Alonso: .276 AVG, 77 RBI, 21 HR; ranks 6th in MLB in RBI
  • Francisco Lindor: .253 AVG, 19 HR, 18 doubles; hitting .309 at home

Team Comparison – Key Stats

CategoryRedsMets
Batting Avg.246 (8th NL).244
Runs/Game4.554.39
Team ERA3.913.61 (2nd NL)
Last 10 Games6–44–6
Over/Under TrendsUnder in 7 of last 10Under in 5 of last 7

Both teams have leaned on pitching recently, with the Under hitting in 4 of the last 6 head-to-head matchups.

Game Odds

Cincinnati Reds                 8

New York Mets                 – 155

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, July 19, 2025