Horse Race Preview: Race 7 – Grade II Connaught Cup Stakes at Woodbine

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The $175,000 bet365 Connaught Cup Stakes (G2T) returns to Woodbine Racetrack on Sunday, July 20, 2025, as Race 7 on the card. Post time is set for 4:10 PM ET, and the race covers seven furlongs on the E.P. Taylor turf course for three-year-olds and upward. With a field of 10 contenders, this Grade II sprint features returning champions, graded stakes winners, and pedigrees built for turf brilliance and closing power.

Contenders & Horse Profiles

PostHorse NamePedigreeTrainerJockey
1Northern InvaderCollected – AndroeahCherie DeVauxRafael Hernandez
2ShardsBucchero – Cynthia’s FuryKelsey DannerSofia Vives
3Sky’s Not FallingSeville (GER) – Sky CopperMichael TrombettaJalon Samuel
4Kehoe BeachOmaha Beach – Sweet AwakeningWesley WardJohn Velazquez
5Lucky ScoreLookin At Lucky – Miss MatzoMark CasseSahin Civaci
6Piper’s FactorThe Factor – Pipers FutureKaterina VassilievaPatrick Husbands
7Twin CityKlimt – Minnie Apple IsStuart SimonJose Campos
8Cruden BayBig Screen – Executive AffairDon MacRaeFraser Aebly
9Crumlin LadSharp Azteca – Lavender’s SpiritAlexander PatykewichAmanda Vandermeersch
10I’m A Gambler (IRE)No Nay Never – We Are Ninety (IRE)Kevin AttardPietro Moran

Pedigree Insights & Turf Sprint Potential

Cruden Bay, by Big Screen, returns as the defending Connaught Cup champion, known for his powerful late kick and Ontario-bred turf stamina. Kehoe Beach, by Omaha Beach, is a rising turf star with graded stakes credentials and a pedigree built for speed and class. Northern Invader, by Collected, brings a strong turf record and a recent win at Churchill Downs, showcasing tactical versatility. Lucky Score, by Lookin At Lucky, is a multiple graded stakes winner with a sharp closing style and proven Woodbine form. I’m A Gambler (IRE), by No Nay Never, adds international flair and has hit the board in three of his last four starts. Piper’s Factor, by The Factor, is a Chiefswood homebred with stakes experience and a pedigree built for turf acceleration.

Jockey & Trainer Matchups to Watch

John Velazquez (Kehoe Beach) and Wesley Ward are a formidable duo, especially in turf sprints. Patrick Husbands (Piper’s Factor) and Katerina Vassilieva have teamed up for multiple stakes wins at Woodbine. Fraser Aebly (Cruden Bay) returns aboard the defending champ, who has been working aggressively in preparation for this race. Rafael Hernandez (Northern Invader) is one of Woodbine’s top turf riders and could control the pace from the rail.

Recent Form & Speed Figures

Horse NameLast Race ResultNotable FinishSurfaceDistance
Cruden Bay5th in King Edward Stakes (G2T)Late runTurf1 mile
Kehoe Beach4th in Dynamic Pricing StakesSet paceTurf1 mile
Lucky Score1st @ Woodbine (7f)Strong closeTurf7f
Northern Invader1st @ Churchill Downs (1m)Dug in lateTurf1 mile
Piper’s Factor8th @ Woodbine (1m)Faded lateTurf1 mile
I’m A Gambler (IRE)3rd @ Woodbine (6f)Outgamed lateTurf6f

Predicted Finish & Strategy

Winner: Kehoe Beach – tactical speed, top connections, improving form

Place: Cruden Bay – defending champ, strong late kick, fresh off layoff

Show: Northern Invader – sharp recent win, rail draw, versatile style