Horse Race Preview: Jack Hardy Stakes at Assiniboia Downs

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Race Date: Wednesday, July 16, 2025
Post Time: 9:15 PM CT
Track: Assiniboia Downs, Winnipeg, Manitoba
Race Type: Stakes — $50,000 purse
Distance: 7½ furlongs (Dirt)
Eligibility: Fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up

Field Overview & Morning Line Odds

PostHorseTrainerJockeyPedigreeOdds
1Burrow DownMike TaphornRonald AliConnect × True Endeavor (by Smart Strike)9/5
2Marvelous LadySteve Keplin Jr.Prayven BadrieKhozan × Sapphire Blue (by Bluegrass Cat)10/1
3Jj’s American DivaSherri Leanne LaingRachaad KnightsAmerican Freedom × Coulee (by Vicar)25/1
4Midshipman’s LadyJerry GourneauAntonio WhitehallMidshipman × Maebelucky (by Lucky Lionel)6/1
5Big StretchLise PruittDane DawkinsMr. Big × Baby Zito (by Unbridled’s Song)20/1
6Dynamic StrikeWendy AndersonCiera PruittDanish Dynaformer × Morning Strike (by Smart Strike)25/1
7Sophia’s StormSteve Keplin Jr.Sven BalroopHandsome Mike × Sophia’s Pride (by Proud Citizen)7/5
8Baby GundinJerry GourneauMathew BennettOxbow × Minx (by Tapit)12/1

Pedigree & Performance Insights

Sophia’s Storm — The Form Standout

Sire: Handsome Mike — known for producing gritty sprinters and milers.

Dam: Sophia’s Pride — adds durability and late kick.

Form: Multiple stakes winner; enters off a victory in the La Verendrye Stakes.

Trainer: Steve Keplin Jr. — leading trainer at Assiniboia Downs.

Burrow Down — Classy Challenger

Sire: Connect — son of Curlin, known for stamina and versatility.

Dam: True Endeavor — adds turf and route pedigree.

Form: Runner-up in the La Verendrye Stakes; consistent stakes performer.

Trainer: Mike Taphorn — rising local conditioner.

Midshipman’s Lady — Tactical Speed Threat

Sire: Midshipman — Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner with speed influence.

Form: Stakes-placed; sharp recent workouts.

Jockey: Antonio Whitehall — three-time leading rider at ASD.

Marvelous Lady — Improving Form

Sire: Khozan — Florida-based sire with precocious offspring.

Trainer: Steve Keplin Jr. — also trains Sophia’s Storm.

Form: Lightly raced; eligible to improve with Prayven Badrie aboard.

Baby Gundin — Longshot with Upside

Sire: Oxbow — Preakness winner known for stamina.

Dam: Minx by Tapit — elite pedigree.

Trainer: Jerry Gourneau — veteran trainer with multiple stakes wins.

Jockey & Trainer Highlights

Sven Balroop (Sophia’s Storm): Second in jockey standings with 17 wins.

Prayven Badrie (Marvelous Lady): Leading rider at ASD with 20 wins.

Antonio Whitehall (Midshipman’s Lady): Stakes-seasoned pilot with recent hot streak.

Steve Keplin Jr. (Trainer of Sophia’s Storm & Marvelous Lady): Winning at a 41% clip.

Jerry Gourneau (Trainer of Midshipman’s Lady & Baby Gundin): Multiple stakes wins in 2025.

Top Contenders:

Sophia’s Storm Handsome Mike mare Canada Stakes favorite

Burrow Down Connect pedigree stakes performer

Midshipman’s Lady Antonio Whitehall filly

Value Plays:

Marvelous Lady Khozan filly improving form

Baby Gundin Oxbow mare Tapit bloodline

The 2025 Canada Stakes is shaping up as a showdown between proven stakes winners and rising contenders. Sophia’s Storm enters as the favorite with elite form and connections, but Burrow Down and Midshipman’s Lady bring tactical speed and pedigree depth. With top trainers like Steve Keplin Jr. and Jerry Gourneau and elite jockeys including Prayven Badrie and Antonio Whitehall, this 7½-furlong test promises a thrilling stretch duel.