MLB Game Preview: Tampa Bay Rays (50-45) vs. Boston Red Sox (51-45)

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Boston Red Sox logo

Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Broadcast: NESN, Bally Sports Sun, MLB.tv

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox (51–45) host the Tampa Bay Rays (50–45) in Game 2 of their four-game AL East series at historic Fenway Park. Boston enters riding an eight-game winning streak, while Tampa Bay has dropped four of its last five, including Friday’s 4–3 loss in the opener. With both teams neck-and-neck in the standings and battling for postseason positioning, Saturday’s matchup is a must-watch showdown.

Starting Pitchers Breakdown

Boston Red Sox – Hunter Dobbins (4–1, 4.10 ERA)

  • Right-hander making his 11th start of the season
  • Owns a 4.10 ERA over 59.1 IP, with 43 strikeouts
  • Last outing: 4 IP, 4 ER, 5 BB vs Giants
  • Opponents batting .257 against him
  • Has pitched 5+ innings in 8 of 12 appearances

Tampa Bay Rays – Drew Rasmussen (7–5, 2.82 ERA)

  • Veteran righty with 89.1 IP and 76 strikeouts
  • Last outing: 2 IP, 1 ER vs Twins
  • Opponents hitting just .216 against him
  • Has 4 quality starts and 7 scoreless outings this season
  • Faces a Red Sox lineup ranked 5th in MLB in slugging (.434)

Key Players to Watch

Boston Red Sox

  • Ceddanne Rafaela: .268 AVG, 12 HR, 43 RBI — batting .378 over last 10 games with 8 doubles and 3 HR
  • Wilyer Abreu: 18 HR — team leader in homers, slugging .527
  • Trevor Story: 57 RBI — leads team in run production
  • Jarren Duran: .260 AVG, 24 doubles, 10 triples — elite speed and gap power

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Junior Caminero: 23 HR, 59 RBI — ranks 9th in MLB HR, 16th in RBI
  • Jonathan Aranda: .326 AVG — team leader in batting average
  • Yandy Díaz: .287 AVG, 14 HR — consistent contact hitter with 18 doubles
  • Jake Mangum: .309 AVG — emerging bat with 9 doubles and strong OBP
  • Red Sox are 33–26 as favorites, winning 72.7% when favored at –188 or shorter
  • Rays are 21–23 as underdogs, winning 47.7% of those games
  • Under has hit in 4 of last 5 Red Sox vs Rays matchups
  • Boston is 8–2 ATS in its last 10 games, averaging 8.2 runs per game

Game Odds

Tampa Bay Rays                8

Boston Red Sox                 – 188

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Friday, July 11, 2025