Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Broadcast: FDSNFL, FDSNOH, MLB.TV
Team Overview & Recent Form
| Team | Record | Last 5 Games | Road/Home Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 42–48 | W-W-L-W-W | 22–21 (Road) |
| Cincinnati Reds | 46–46 | L-L-L-L-W | 24–21 (Home) |
- Marlins have outscored the Reds 17–2 over the first two games of this four-game series.
- Reds are on a four-game losing streak, struggling to generate offense and facing a potential drop below .500.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Team | Record | ERA | WHIP | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Marlins | 4–8 | 7.01 | 1.65 | Allowed 5 ER in 6 IP in last outing vs. Braves |
| Andrew Abbott | Reds | 7–1 | 2.15 | 1.12 | Struggled last start: 3.1 IP, 4 ER, 9 H vs. Brewers |
Abbott has been dominant most of the season, but Miami’s bats are red-hot. Alcantara’s ERA is inflated, but he’s capable of bounce-back performances.
Key Players to Watch
Miami Marlins
- Kyle Stowers: 16 HR, 46 RBI; slugging .509
- Xavier Edwards: Batting .286; 14-for-43 over last 10 games
- Otto Lopez: 9 HR, 27 BB; key contributor in recent wins
Cincinnati Reds
- Elly De La Cruz: 18 HR, 60 RBI; 15 doubles, 2 triples
- Spencer Steer: 4 HR, 10 RBI in last 10 games
- TJ Friedl: .277 AVG; consistent contact hitter
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Marlins | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Team ERA | 4.66 | 3.95 |
| Batting Average | .253 | .245 |
| Home Runs | 98 | 121 |
| Bullpen ERA | 4.37 | 3.95 |
| Slugging % | .390 | .393 |
Miami’s offense has surged lately, while Cincinnati’s pitching remains solid despite recent setbacks.
Miami’s offense has overwhelmed Cincinnati’s pitching through two games, and Alcantara—despite his rough ERA—has the tools to keep the Reds quiet. Abbott’s season numbers are stellar, but his last outing raises concerns. If the Marlins continue their aggressive hitting and capitalize on Cincinnati’s recent slump, they could take control of the series.
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 8
Cincinnati Reds – 141
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Tuesday, July 8, 2025








