MLB Game Preview: New York Mets (53-39) vs. Baltimore Orioles (40-50)

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Baltimore Orioles logo

Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
First Pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
Broadcast: ESPN, SNY, MASN

Team Overview & Recent Form

TeamRecordLast 5 GamesRoad/Home Split
New York Mets53–39W-W-L-W-W20–25 (Road)
Baltimore Orioles40–50L-W-W-W-L19–23 (Home)
  • Mets rallied for a dramatic 7–6 win in extra innings on Tuesday, thanks to Juan Soto’s walk-off single.
  • Orioles blew a four-run lead late, continuing their season-long bullpen struggles.

Pitching Matchup

PitcherTeamRecordERAWHIPNotes
David PetersonMets6–43.181.22Coming off 6.2 IP, 1 ER vs. Brewers
Tomoyuki SuganoOrioles6–54.441.30Allowed 6 ER in last start vs. Rangers

Peterson has been solid on the road, while Sugano has struggled with long balls—7 HR allowed in last 4 starts.

Key Players to Watch

New York Mets

  • Juan Soto: 21 HR, .263 AVG, .904 OPS; clutch performer with game-winning hit Tuesday
  • Francisco Lindor: 17 HR, 17 doubles; batting .368 over last 5 games
  • Brandon Nimmo: 18 HR, 53 RBI; 8-for-24 (.333) in last 6 games

Baltimore Orioles

  • Jackson Holliday: 11 HR, 36 RBI; 4-for-4 with HR and double on Sunday
  • Ryan O’Hearn: .287 AVG, 11 HR; consistent contact hitter
  • Cedric Mullins: 13 HR, 13 doubles; veteran presence in lineup

Statistical Comparison

CategoryMetsOrioles
Team ERA4.125.38 (last 10 games)
Batting Average.250.263 (last 10 games)
Home Runs121 (4th NL)98
Bullpen ERA4.375.54 (last 10 games)
Run Differential-20 (last 10)+4 (last 10)

New York’s offense is heating up, while Baltimore’s bullpen remains a liability.

The Mets are playing with purpose after multiple All-Star snubs, and their top four hitters are locked in. With Peterson’s consistency and Baltimore’s bullpen woes, New York is well-positioned to complete the sweep.

Game Odds

New York Mets                 – 153

Baltimore Orioles            9

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Tuesday, July 8, 2025