Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers (48–38) vs. Miami Marlins (39–46)
Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Watch: Bally Sports Wisconsin, Bally Sports Florida, MLB.tv
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins open a three-game series on Independence Day in South Florida. Milwaukee enters the matchup second in the NL Central and in the thick of the Wild Card race, while Miami is trying to claw back into contention after a recent hot streak.
The Brewers have won 7 of their last 10 and are averaging 6.3 runs per game during that stretch. The Marlins, meanwhile, have gone 9–1 in their last 10 and are one of the hottest teams in baseball.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Quinn Priester (Brewers)
- Record: 6–2
- ERA: 3.35
- WHIP: 1.18
- Strikeouts: 61 in 78.2 IP
- Last Start: 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 11 K vs. Rockies
Priester has been a revelation for Milwaukee, allowing 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 straight starts. He generates ground balls at a 57.7% rate and has a .255 xBA against.
Sandy Alcantara (Marlins)
- Record: 4–8
- ERA: 6.98
- WHIP: 1.52
- Strikeouts: 63 in 80.2 IP
- Last Start: 6 IP, 7 ER vs. Diamondbacks
The 2022 NL Cy Young winner has struggled mightily in 2025. Opponents are hitting .280 against him, and his 6.98 ERA ranks among the worst in MLB for qualified starters.
Key Hitters to Watch
Brewers
- Christian Yelich: .259 AVG, 17 HR, 61 RBI
- 2 HR in last 5 games; 10th in MLB in RBI
- Jackson Chourio: .253 AVG, 14 HR, 22 2B
- 3 HR in last 10 games; 26th in MLB in RBI
- Sal Frelick: .296 AVG (team-best)
- Brice Turang: .288 AVG, 14 2B, 5 HR, 37 BB
Marlins
- Kyle Stowers: .283 AVG, 15 HR, 45 RBI
- Leads team in all three categories
- Otto Lopez: .253 AVG, 8 HR, 26 BB
- Agustín Ramírez: .248 AVG, 13 HR, 15 2B
- Xavier Edwards: .283 AVG, 15 SB
Team Stats & Trends
| Category | Brewers | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Batting Avg | .247 (15th in MLB) | .254 (11th in MLB) |
| Runs Scored | 407 (8th) | 360 (19th) |
| Home Runs | 84 (22nd) | 75 (26th) |
| Team ERA | 3.79 (13th) | 4.75 (26th) |
| Bullpen ERA | 4.19 (21st) | 4.28 (23rd) |
| Last 10 Games | 7–3 | 9–1 |
Milwaukee has the edge in starting pitching and offensive consistency. While the Marlins are red-hot, Alcantara’s struggles and Priester’s form tilt the matchup toward the Brewers.
Betting Trends
- Brewers are 7–3 in their last 10 games
- Marlins are 9–1 in their last 10 games
- Brewers are 28–15 when favored this season
- Marlins are 34–41 as underdogs in 2025
- Over is 6–4 in Brewers’ last 10 games
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 126
Miami Marlins 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, July 3, 2025
