Matchup Snapshot
| Team | Record | Conference Rank | Last 5 Games | Head-to-Head (2025) |
| Las Vegas Aces | 7–8 | 3–6 (West) | 2–3 | 0–1 |
| Phoenix Mercury | 12–4 | 6–4 (West) | 5–0 | 1–0 |
This is the second of four meetings this season. Phoenix won the first matchup 76–70 on June 15, led by Satou Sabally’s 22-point performance.
Key Storylines
Mercury’s Momentum: Phoenix enters on a six-game winning streak, including a dominant 106–91 win over the defending champion New York Liberty.
Aces’ Inconsistency: Las Vegas has dropped three of their last five, including a 94–83 loss to the Mystics. Their offense has sputtered, ranking 9th in scoring and 11th in FG%.
Commissioner’s Cup Implications: This game is part of the WNBA’s midseason tournament, adding extra weight to the outcome.
Players to Watch
Phoenix Mercury
Satou Sabally: 19.6 PPG, 7.9 RPG — versatile forward and matchup nightmare.
Sami Whitcomb: Averaging 10.7 PPG over her last 10 games; hit 5 threes vs. New York.
Alyssa Thomas: All-around contributor with elite rebounding and playmaking.
Las Vegas Aces
A’ja Wilson: 21.3 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 2.8 BPG — MVP-caliber anchor on both ends.
Jackie Young: 18.2 PPG; needs to bounce back after a 13-point outing vs. Washington.
Chelsea Gray: Veteran floor general who must control tempo and create offense.
Team Stats Comparison
| Category | Mercury | Aces |
| Points Per Game | 86.7 | 80.7 |
| Opponent PPG | 81.7 | 82.1 |
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT Made/Game | 10.4 | 6.8 |
| Assists Per Game | 21.1 | 16.5 |
Phoenix’s offensive efficiency and three-point shooting give them a clear edge heading into this matchup.
GAME ODDS
Las Vegas Aces 167
Phoenix Mercury – 6.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 28, 2025
