MLB Game Preview: Toronto Blue Jays (44-38) vs. Boston Red Sox (41-43)

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First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET, with coverage on Sportsnet, NESN, and MLB.tv.

MatchupToronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox
Date & TimeSunday, June 29 – 1:35 p.m. ET
VenueFenway Park, Boston, MA
BroadcastSportsnet, NESN, MLB.tv

This is the final game of a three-game AL East series. The Blue Jays lead the season series 6–3 and are looking to rebound after a 15–1 blowout loss on Saturday.

Team Form & Trends

Toronto Blue Jays (44–38, 3rd in AL East)

  • Recent Form: 3–2 in last 5 games
  • Offensive Leaders:
    • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: .280 AVG, 11 HR, 40 RBI, .386 OBP
    • Bo Bichette: .274 AVG, 11 HR, 49 RBI – .427 SLG in 374 plate appearances
    • George Springer: 15 doubles, 11 HR – key veteran presence
  • Team Trends:
  • 6–4 in last 10 games
  • 2nd in AL in team OBP (.328)

Boston Red Sox (41–43, 4th in AL East)

  • Recent Form: Snapped 6-game losing streak with Saturday’s win
  • Offensive Leaders:
    • Ceddanne Rafaela: .253 AVG, 9 HR, 32 RBI, 11 SB
    • Wilyer Abreu: 3-run HR and 4 RBI in Saturday’s win
    • Connor Wong: .287 AVG, 7 HR – emerging as a reliable bat
  • Team Trends:
  • 3–7 in last 10 games
  • 22–18 at home

Probable Starting Pitchers

Toronto Blue Jays: Walker Buehler (RHP)

  • Record: 5–5 ERA: 6.29 WHIP: 1.57
  • Last Start: 5 ER in 4.2 IP vs Yankees
  • Trend: Allowed 5+ ER in 4 of last 5 starts; Jays are 2–4 in his last 6 outings

Boston Red Sox: Eric Lauer (LHP)

  • Record: 4–1 ERA: 2.21 WHIP: 1.01
  • Last Start: 6.0 IP, 1 ER vs Rays
  • Trend: 3.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 40.2 IP; Red Sox are 4–1 in his starts

Key Matchups to Watch

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Lauer: Guerrero’s .443 SLG and 13.2% walk rate make him a threat even against lefties
  • Rafaela & Abreu vs Buehler: Both Red Sox hitters are heating up and could capitalize on Buehler’s recent struggles
  • Bullpen Battle: Toronto’s bullpen ERA (3.71) ranks top 10; Boston’s pen has been inconsistent in late innings

Head-to-Head & Betting Insights

  • Blue Jays lead season series 6–3
  • Toronto is 28–18 when favored by -110 or more
  • Boston is 15–21 as underdogs of +105 or worse
  • Over is 6–4 in last 10 matchups between these teams

Game Odds

Toronto Blue Jays             – 125

Boston Red Sox                 9.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 28, 2025