MLB Game Preview: San Diego Padres (28-21) vs. Atlanta Braves (24-26)

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The San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves continue their three-game series at Truist Park, with the Padres looking to extend their 5-0 season series lead over Atlanta.

Game Overview

  • Date: Saturday, May 24, 2025
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
  • Broadcast: ESPN, Bally Sports San Diego, Bally Sports South
  • Series Status: Padres lead 5-0

Team Breakdown

San Diego Padres (28-21, 2nd in NL West)

  • Last Game: 2-1 win vs. Braves
  • Key Players:
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. – Leads the team with 12 home runs, adding seven doubles and a triple.
  • Gavin Sheets – Has been red-hot, going 9-for-39 with four home runs and eight RBIs over the last 10 games.
  • Michael King (SP)4-2, 2.59 ERA, ranks top 10 in strikeout rate among starters.

Atlanta Braves (24-26, 3rd in NL East)

  • Last Game: 1-2 loss vs. Padres
  • Key Players:
  • Ozzie Albies – Has six doubles and five home runs, providing consistency in the lineup.
  • Matt Olson – Batting .317 over his last 10 games, with three doubles and four home runs.
  • Grant Holmes (SP)2-3, 4.01 ERA, looking to bounce back after allowing two earned runs in his last start.

Key Matchups & Storylines

1. Padres’ Season Dominance vs. Braves’ Struggles

San Diego has won all five matchups against Atlanta this season, including a four-game sweep in March. Can the Braves finally break through?

2. King vs. Holmes – Pitching Duel

  • Michael King (SD): 4-2, 2.59 ERA, has a 1.02 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.
  • Grant Holmes (ATL): 2-3, 4.01 ERA, has a 1.18 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

3. Braves’ Home Struggles

Atlanta has dropped three straight games and is 5-5 over its last 10. Can they turn things around at Truist Park?

4. Padres’ Offensive Efficiency

San Diego ranks seventh in the NL in on-base percentage (.320), while Atlanta has struggled to generate runs consistently.

5. NL Playoff Implications

Both teams are fighting for Wild Card positioning, making this series crucial for postseason hopes.

Prediction & X-Factors

  • Likely Outcome: A competitive game with pitching dictating the pace.
  • X-Factors:
  • King’s ability to limit walks – If he controls the strike zone, San Diego has the edge.
  • Holmes’ command – Can he keep Padres’ hitters off balance?
  • Atlanta’s offensive adjustments – If Albies and Olson step up, the Braves could pull off a win.

Game Odds

San Diego Padres             9

Atlanta Braves                  – 115

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 23, 2025