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MLB Game Preview: Houston Astros (24-22) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (21-25)

The Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays kick off a three-game series Monday night at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they navigate the early stages of the season.

Houston Astros (24-22)

The Astros enter the matchup having won six of their last ten games, showing signs of offensive improvement. Jeremy Peña has been a standout performer, hitting .301 with six home runs and 23 RBIs. Isaac Paredes has also contributed with seven home runs and 24 RBIs, providing much-needed power in the lineup.

Houston’s pitching staff has been solid, posting a 3.48 ERA over their last ten games. However, their road record of 9-13 suggests they struggle away from home. The Astros will need a strong outing from their starter to contain Tampa Bay’s aggressive offense.

Tampa Bay Rays (21-25)

The Rays have had an inconsistent season, but they’ve gone 6-3 in games where they hit at least two home runs. Junior Caminero leads the team with eight home runs, while Brandon Lowe has been heating up, going 10-for-36 with three home runs in his last ten games.

Tampa Bay’s pitching has been shaky, with a 4.40 ERA over their last ten games. They’ll need a strong performance from Ryan Pepiot, who has shown promise despite his 2-5 record and 3.93 ERA. His ability to limit Houston’s offense will be a key factor in this matchup.

Key Matchups

  • Jeremy Peña vs. Ryan Pepiot – Peña has been Houston’s most consistent hitter, and Pepiot will need to keep him off balance.
  • Junior Caminero vs. Astros’ bullpen – Caminero’s power could be a game-changer if the Astros’ relievers struggle late.
  • Astros’ road struggles vs. Rays’ home inconsistencies – Both teams have struggled in their respective environments, making this a battle of who can overcome their weaknesses.

Game Outlook

Houston has the edge in pitching, but Tampa Bay’s power-hitting could make this a high-scoring affair. If Pepiot can deliver a quality start, the Rays have a strong chance to take the opener. However, Houston’s recent form suggests they won’t go down easily.

Game Odds

Houston Astros                 9

Tampa Bay Rays                – 142

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 18, 2025

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