Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, New Jersey
Broadcast: Apple TV (MLS Season Pass); also TSN4/5 in Canada
This Eastern Conference clash carries significant playoff implications. The Red Bulls sit closer to the final postseason spots and hold a strong historical edge at home against Toronto, while the Reds are fighting to stay in the race and need a result on the road. New York is managed by former Toronto captain Michael Bradley.
Venue and Kickoff Details
Sports Illustrated Stadium (formerly known in context as the Red Bulls’ home venue in Harrison, NJ) hosts the match. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Coverage is available globally on Apple TV in English and Spanish.
Current Weather Forecast (Harrison, NJ / Sports Illustrated Stadium area)
Expect cooler, mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with a high near 54°F (12°C) and a low around 39–40°F (4°C). North/northwest winds around 15–18 mph with higher gusts possible. Early chance of light showers or sprinkles diminishing, with the evening expected to be mostly clear and dry. Crisp and breezy for late-season play.
Injury and Suspension Reports
New York Red Bulls:
No major absences widely reported; relatively clean bill of health for key players.
Toronto FC:
Richie Laryea (yellow-card accumulation) – Suspended
Benjamín Kuscevic (yellow-card accumulation) – Suspended
Walker Zimmerman (ankle) – Out
Nelson Palacio (thigh) – Out
Toronto will be missing three members of its preferred starting back four, forcing significant defensive reshuffling (options include Nicksoen Gomis, Zane Monlouis, Kobe Franklin, and others).
Current Player Rosters and Predicted Lineups
New York Red Bulls (typically 4-3-3):
GK: Ethan Horvath
Defense: Dylan Nealis, Justin Che, Julián Bazán, Devin Padelford (or similar)
Midfield: Ronald Donkor, Adri Mehmeti, Mohammed Sofo
Attack: Cade Cowell, Julian Hall, Jorge Ruvalcaba (with support from players like Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting) Key available players: Horvath, Hall (team-leading goals, ~9–11), Ruvalcaba (8 goals), Donkor (assists), and the high-pressing midfield group.
Toronto FC (typically 4-3-3):
GK: Luka Gavran
Defense: Depth options such as Matheus Pereira, Nicksoen Gomis, Zane Monlouis, Kobe Franklin (due to suspensions/injuries)
Midfield: Alonso Coello, Niklas Dorsch, others
Attack: Dániel Sallói, Josh Sargent, Lewis Morgan / Theo Corbeanu Key available players: Gavran, Sallói (7 goals + assists), Sargent (goals), Morgan (recent scoring form, facing former club), and Coello.
Key Player vs. Player Matchups
Julian Hall / Jorge Ruvalcaba (RBNY attackers) vs. Toronto’s makeshift back line: Hall has been clinical and high-volume; Ruvalcaba adds pace and finishing. Toronto’s absences create a major vulnerability.
Dániel Sallói / Josh Sargent (TFC) vs. New York’s center backs (Nealis/Che/Bazán): Sallói is a consistent threat with goals and assists; Sargent provides physical presence.
Lewis Morgan (TFC, recent form) vs. Red Bulls midfield/defense: Morgan faces his former club in good scoring form.
Ronald Donkor / midfield creators (RBNY) vs. Toronto’s midfield shield: Donkor has been productive with assists lately; New York’s high-press style will test Toronto’s build-up.
Ethan Horvath (RBNY) vs. Toronto’s finishing: The goalkeeper has been reliable; Toronto must convert limited chances on the road.
Recent Team Forms
New York Red Bulls: Mixed but capable at home. Recent results include a 4-1 home win over San Diego FC and a 1-2 road loss at D.C. United. Strong when scoring multiple goals and historically dominant at home against Toronto. High work rate and transition threat.
Toronto FC: Competitive but inconsistent. Recent results include a 2-1 comeback win over Montréal and a high-scoring 3-3 home draw with Orlando City. Road form has been poor (ongoing losing streak noted), and defensive absences compound challenges. Still mathematically alive in the playoff race but need results.
Series History
New York holds a commanding series edge (approximately 24-9-12 all-time in regular-season meetings). The Red Bulls are on a long unbeaten streak against Toronto (14 matches) and have won their last eight home games against the Reds (outscoring them heavily). Since the stadium opened, New York is roughly 16-1-2 at home vs. Toronto. The 2026 prior meeting finished 1-1 at BMO Field (Sallói scored for Toronto; Choupo-Moting equalized). Toronto’s last road win in the series dates back to 2016.
Betting Trends
New York is a clear home favorite given the historical dominance, Toronto’s defensive absences, and home scoring trends. Both teams have shown the ability to produce goals in open games, supporting a higher total.
New York’s home fortress against Toronto and the Reds’ defensive crisis make the hosts strong favorites. Toronto’s attacking talent (Sallói, Sargent, Morgan) ensures they can score, but the absences tilt the balance heavily toward the Red Bulls. Monitor final lineups closely given Toronto’s depth test and any late weather changes. This is a high-stakes Eastern Conference battle with direct playoff ramifications.
MATCH ODDS
Toronto FC + 310
New York Red Bulls – 133
Draw + 355
Over 3.5 – 118 Under 3.5 – 107
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 16, 2026
