WNBA Game Preview: Las Vegas Aces (30-13) vs. Phoenix Mercury (16-27)

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Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, Arizona

This is the regular-season finale for both teams. The Aces have clinched a top-4 seed and are playing for potential seeding improvements (including a shot at the No. 2 seed depending on other results). The Mercury have been eliminated from playoff contention.

Current Player Rosters

Las Vegas Aces:
Centered around A’ja Wilson (elite scoring and rebounding, ~26 PPG range in recent data), Jackie Young, Chelsea Gray (playmaking), and supporting pieces. Depth has been impacted by season-long injuries but the core remains strong.

Phoenix Mercury:
Led by Kahleah Copper (recent 31-point outing) and Alyssa Thomas (scoring, rebounding, and elite assists). Other contributors include Natasha Mack and supporting cast.

Scheduled Tip-Off Time and Broadcast10:00 p.m. ET on USA Network, CNBC, and regional options (AZFamily / The Spot).

Listed Injury Reports

Las Vegas Aces:

NaLyssa Smith (F, leg) – Out for season.

Janiah Barker (F, leg) – Out for season.

Phoenix Mercury:

Kelsey Plum (G, lower leg) – Out for season.

Jovana Nogic (G) – Out for season (not injury-related / overseas).
Additional day-to-day notes in some reports for secondary players (e.g., foot/concussion concerns), but Plum is the primary absence.

Key Player vs. Player Matchups

A’ja Wilson (Aces) vs. Alyssa Thomas / Kahleah Copper (Mercury): Wilson’s two-way dominance against Thomas’s all-around game and Copper’s scoring punch.

Jackie Young / Chelsea Gray vs. Mercury perimeter defenders: Aces’ backcourt playmaking and scoring vs. Phoenix’s remaining guards.

Team styles: Aces feature high efficiency (strong FG%, assists, blocks) and score ~91 PPG while allowing fewer; Mercury average ~84 PPG with more variability.

Recent Team Forms

Las Vegas Aces: On a strong run (multiple consecutive wins, including recent victories over the Sparks, Storm, and others). Excellent overall form heading into the finale.

Phoenix Mercury: Mixed late-season results (recent win over Dallas featuring Copper’s 31 points; prior losses). Home record around 7-14.

Series History (2026)

Aces hold the edge in recent meetings, including a dominant 106-58 win on July 11. Earlier games were competitive, but Las Vegas has generally controlled the matchup.

Betting Trends

Trends favor the Aces heavily as road favorites due to superior record, recent form, and head-to-head results. Large spreads can be vulnerable if Las Vegas rests players with seeding largely secured. High totals reflect offensive capabilities on both sides.

GAME ODDS

Las Vegas Aces                  – 10

Phoenix Mercury             175.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, September 23, 2026

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WNBA Editor
Profile: A dedicated WNBA analyst with a deep understanding of the league’s tactical evolution, player‑development pathways, and expanding cultural impact. This columnist provides comprehensive coverage that blends advanced metrics, film study, and league‑wide context to highlight the storylines shaping modern professional women’s basketball. Background: With extensive experience covering the WNBA and women’s basketball at multiple levels, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets and digital platforms, offering perspective on coaching trends, roster construction, and organizational strategy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking team progression throughout the season. Signature Coverage Areas: Game previews and matchup analysis Film‑based breakdowns of offensive and defensive systems Player evaluation, draft analysis, and free‑agency movement Team‑building strategy, salary‑cap dynamics, and front‑office trends Historical context, league milestones, and postseason features Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex schemes and statistical models into insights that resonate with both long‑time WNBA fans and new followers of the league. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the WNBA’s growth, competitiveness, and influence on the broader basketball landscape.