Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
First pitch: 3:07 p.m. ET
TV: MASN / Sportsnet (SNET) / TVA Sports
Venue & Weather
Rogers Centre (retractable roof, artificial turf; capacity ~41,500). Forecast for game time indicates mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with temperatures around 74–78°F, light-to-moderate SSE winds around 7–10 mph, and low precipitation probability (generally under 10–15% during afternoon hours). Playable conditions expected with the roof likely open or adjustable.
Probable Starting Pitchers
Orioles: RHP Kyle Bradish (7-13, 3.91 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 140 K in 152.0 IP)
The 30-year-old right-hander has been a workhorse but has struggled with consistency and walks this season (elevated WHIP). Career vs. Blue Jays is 2-4 with a 4.94 ERA; this season 1-1, 4.09 ERA in two starts against them. Recent form mixed, with shorter outings and some command issues. Solid strikeout rate remains a strength.
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Blue Jays: RHP Spencer Miles (6-2, 2.77 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 81 K in 87.2 IP)
26-year-old right-hander who has excelled in a hybrid starter/reliever role. Excellent control and ability to limit hard contact (low HR rate). Recent scoreless appearances out of the bullpen; expected to open or take a bulk role. Limited prior exposure to the Orioles this year (1-1, elevated ERA in small sample). Holds a clear edge on paper with superior ratios.
Miles’ efficiency gives Toronto a pitching advantage against Bradish’s higher walk total.
Current Rosters & Key Players
Orioles key contributors:
Pete Alonso (1B, power leader ~34 HR / 97 RBI), Gunnar Henderson (SS, recent return from foot issue), Coby Mayo (DH/INF, recent HR surge ~23 HR), Dylan Beavers (OF, leadoff power on Friday), Jackson Holliday (2B), Christian Encarnacion-Strand (3B/1B), Colton Cowser (CF), Samuel Basallo (C), Heston Kjerstad. Offense has solid OBP and power (178 HR) but has been inconsistent.
Blue Jays key contributors:
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B), Kazuma Okamoto (3B, ~31 HR), George Springer (DH), Alejandro Kirk (C), Ernie Clement (2B/INF, contact), Andrés Giménez (SS), Nathan Lukes (OF), Brett Bateman (CF, recent first MLB HR), Josh Smith. Power is present but overall run production ranks lower; home success when hitting multiple HRs.
Injury Reports
Orioles:
Gunnar Henderson (SS) – Day-to-day (foot; in recent lineup).
Luis Robert Jr. (CF) – 10-day IL (hamstring).
Christian Franklin (OF) – 10-day IL (hand).
Blaze Alexander (INF) – 10-day IL (back).
Tyler O’Neill (OF) – 10-day IL (shoulder).
Longer-term 60-day: Ryan Mountcastle (foot), Felix Bautista (shoulder), Ryan Helsley (elbow), Zach Eflin (elbow), Jordan Westburg (UCL), Keegan Akin (elbow), and others.
Blue Jays:
Luis Urías (INF) – 10-day IL (quad).
Trey Yesavage (SP) – 15-day IL (knee).
Shane Bieber (SP) – 15-day IL (back/shoulder).
Jameson Taillon (SP) – 15-day IL (elbow).
Longer-term 60-day: Anthony Santander (shoulder), José Berríos (elbow), Patrick Corbin (shoulder), Yimi García (elbow), Addison Barger (elbow), Jonatan Clase (foot), Cody Ponce (knee), Bowden Francis (elbow), and others.
Recent Team Forms & Series Context
Orioles: 72-76 overall (36-37 away), 5th in AL East. Won Friday’s series opener 7-4 (Beavers leadoff HR, Mayo HR, Encarnacion-Strand multi-hit) to pull within one game of Toronto in the wild-card race. Last 10 roughly 3-7; recent wins have been sporadic but timely.
Blue Jays: 73-75 overall (37-36 home), 4th in AL East. Dropped Friday’s contest after a mixed stretch (last 10 roughly 5-5). Still in the wild-card mix but need consistency. Home record solid when power connects.
Series: Orioles lead the current three-game set 1-0. Season series tied 4-4 entering the weekend (nine meetings this season; remaining games could decide a potential tiebreaker for the final AL wild-card spot). High stakes for both clubs.
Key Player vs. Player / Matchup Notes
Bradish (RHP, strikeout ability but elevated walks) vs. Blue Jays: Guerrero Jr., Okamoto, and Springer present power threats; Clement and Giménez offer contact. Command will be critical in Rogers Centre.
Miles (RHP, strong control and low HR rate) vs. Orioles: Alonso and Mayo are the primary power risks; Henderson and Holliday provide left-handed threats. Miles’ efficiency should help neutralize the Orioles’ OBP strength.
Late innings: Both bullpens are thinned by injuries; saves opportunities could matter in a tight contest.
Betting Trends
Both teams are in the thick of the AL wild-card race, adding urgency. Orioles showed offensive pop on Friday; Blue Jays are stronger at home and when hitting multiple HRs. Totals lean toward the higher side of 8 due to power potential, but both starters can work efficiently. Unders have value if Miles goes deep and Bradish limits damage.
Game Odds
Baltimore Orioles 8.5
Toronto Blue Jays – 127
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, September 11, 2026
