MLB Game Preview: New York Mets (67-78) vs. Miami Marlins (72-74)

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loanDepot park in Miami, Florida.

First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET.

TV coverage is available on Marlins.TV and SNY; streaming options include Fubo and similar platforms.

Starting Pitchers

Mets: RHP Robert Stock (1-3, 5.81 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, 25 K in 26.1 IP). The 36-year-old journeyman has limited major-league work this season with elevated walk and hit rates. He has a small-sample career edge vs. Miami (0-1, 1.29 ERA in 7 IP). Expect a shorter outing given his profile and the Mets’ recent bullpen usage.

Marlins: RHP Janson Junk (6-9, 4.00 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 74 K in 108 IP). More established this year with better command and workload. He previously faced the Mets on July 31, delivering 5 scoreless innings (3 H, 2 BB, unearned run allowed) in a Marlins win. Home numbers and consistency give him the clear edge.

Junk holds the advantage in experience, ERA, WHIP, and prior success against this Mets group.

Venue and Weather

loanDepot park (Miami, FL; retractable roof, though typically open in favorable conditions). Forecast: Partly sunny to mostly sunny with a chance of showers/thunderstorms (around 40–50% daytime chance, mainly earlier). Highs near 88–90°F with heat index values potentially reaching the low 100s. East winds 5–12 mph. Precipitation risk exists but is not extreme for a night game; roof usage possible if storms develop. Humid conditions typical for South Florida.

Injury Reports

Mets:

Cionel Pérez (RP): 15-day IL (forearm; rehab progressing).

Devin Williams (RP): 15-day IL (shoulder; recent bullpen, evaluation ongoing).

Jorge Polanco (DH/INF): 60-day IL (ankle; season-ending).

Reed Garrett (RP): 60-day IL (elbow).

Tylor Megill (SP): 60-day IL (elbow).

Marlins:

Xavier Edwards (2B/INF): 10-day IL (thumb; expected mid-September).

Pete Fairbanks (RP): 15-day IL (nerve; possible return window around now).

Anthony Bender (RP): 15-day IL (shin).

Max Meyer (SP): 15-day IL (neck).

Longer-term: Andrew Nardi, Ronny Henriquez, Adam Mazur, Robby Snelling, William Kempner (mostly elbow/ribs, 60-day IL).

Projected/recent lineups

Mets (typical recent order): Francisco Lindor (SS), Juan Soto (OF), Bo Bichette (3B/INF), Francisco Alvarez (C), Jared Young (1B), Carson Benge (OF), A.J. Ewing (OF), Brett Baty (INF), others rotating.

Marlins: Otto López (SS/2B), Javier Sanoja, Heriberto Hernández (power), Jakob Marsee, and supporting cast emphasizing on-base and speed. Key active bats: Mets — Soto (power, ~24 HR, recent multi-hit/HR game), Lindor (recent power surge), Bichette, Alvarez, Benge. Marlins — López (~.301 AVG, contact/speed), Hernández (~24 HR), Sanoja (hot recently).

Key Player vs. Player Matchups

Stock (RHP) vs. Marlins contact/speed-oriented group (López, Sanoja) and power from Hernández. Stock’s elevated WHIP and limited strikeout ability create risk against an offense that ranks well in OBP.

Junk (RHP) vs. Mets (Soto, Lindor, Bichette, Alvarez). Junk previously limited New York effectively. Soto’s left-handed power and Lindor’s recent form are the primary threats; Mets have shown multi-HR capability in recent games. loanDepot park’s dimensions and humidity can suppress some fly balls but favor contact and speed.

Bullpens: Both thinned by injuries (Mets missing key arms; Marlins missing Fairbanks/Meyer-related depth). Recent Mets success has relied more on offense and opportunistic pitching.

Recent Team Forms

Mets (last 10: 7-3): .257 team AVG, 4.45 ERA, outscored opponents by 13. On a three-game win streak (and 5 of last 6), including consecutive wins over Miami (9-4 and 7-5). Post-deadline improvement (stronger record since selling). Road mark 33-38. Fourth in NL East (~18 GB); playing for momentum and 2027 outlook with younger pieces.

Marlins (last 10: 4-6): .238 team AVG, 5.42 ERA, slightly outscored. Dropped the first two of this series and five of last six overall. Strong home record (43-31). Third in NL East (~13.5 GB); long-shot wild-card hopes fading. Offense ranks well in OBP and steals.

Series History

Current series: Mets lead 2-0 and seek the sweep (won Monday 9-4, Tuesday 7-5 with multi-HR support from Lindor/Soto/Baty). Full 2026 season series tied 6-6 entering this game (13th meeting). Earlier matchups were split across venues, with both clubs taking series at times. Recent games have been higher-scoring.

Betting Trends

Mets hot streak and series dominance create value as road underdogs.

Marlins strong at home but struggling recently offensively/pitching.

Higher totals possible given both teams’ recent run production and Stock’s vulnerability.

Game Odds

New York Mets                 8.5

Miami Marlins                  – 120

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, September 8, 2026

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