Citi Field, Flushing, Queens, New York
First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Broadcast: SNY / Brewers TV / BRTV)
Starting Pitchers
Brewers: LHP Kyle Harrison (10-3, 2.84 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 98.1 IP, 122 K, 26 BB, 13 HR). Strong season with high strikeout rate. Recent form solid (e.g., 5 shutout innings, 8 K vs. Mariners). Limited prior sample vs. Mets (one rough outing while with Giants in 2024).
Mets: LHP Zac Thornton (3-4, 3.04 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 50.1 IP, 36 K, 14 BB, 6 HR). Solid rookie campaign in limited starts. Recent: mixed results (e.g., 5 IP, 3 ER vs. Padres). Had a strong outing vs. Milwaukee in July (6 scoreless innings).
Both lefties with comparable ERAs in the low-3.00s, but Harrison brings more innings, strikeouts, and overall track record this year. Brewers hold a clear staff advantage (team ERA ~3.42 rank near top; Mets ~4.07).
Venue & Weather Forecast
Citi Field, Flushing, Queens, NY.
Forecast for game time/evening: Partly cloudy to sunny, temperatures around 77–82°F (high near 80–82°F), low precipitation chance (~10–20%, isolated showers possible but unlikely to impact), light winds (W/WNW ~7–15 mph). Comfortable conditions expected.
Current Rosters / Projected Lineups
Brewers (key active hitters): Jackson Chourio (OF, .280 AVG), Brice Turang (2B, strong RBI producer), William Contreras (C), Jake Bauers (1B/OF, 23 HR), Christian Yelich (LF/DH), Andrew Vaughn (1B/3B), Garrett Mitchell (CF – day-to-day forearm), Sal Frelick (RF – expected return from IL during series). Contact, speed, and balanced offense; lower HR total but high OBP.
Mets (key active hitters): Francisco Lindor (SS), Bo Bichette (3B/IF), Carson Benge (OF), Luis Robert Jr. (OF), Eric Wagaman (1B), Christopher Morel (DH), Marcus Semien (2B), A.J. Ewing (CF), Luis Torrens (C). Power potential remains (161 HR team total ranks higher), but overall AVG/OBP lag and key absences hurt consistency.
Injury Reports
Brewers: Sal Frelick (RF, 10-day IL, shoulder – expected activation during this series); Garrett Mitchell (CF, day-to-day, forearm bruise from HBP); Abner Uribe (RP, 15-day IL, forearm – rehabbing, possible soon); JoJo Romero (RP, 15-day IL); Brandon Woodruff (SP, 60-day IL, shoulder – throwing program starting, low chance of 2026 return); Joel Kuhnel and others on IL.
Mets: Juan Soto (LF, 10-day IL, calf – progressing slowly); Mark Vientos (1B, 10-day IL, hand fracture); Jorge Polanco (DH, day-to-day, ankle); Devin Williams (RP, 15-day IL, shoulder); Cionel Pérez (RP, 15-day IL, forearm); longer-term absences including some rotation/bullpen depth.
Brewers are relatively healthier at the plate; Mets missing star power in Soto/Vientos.
Key Player vs. Player Matchups
Jackson Chourio / Brice Turang / Christian Yelich vs. Zac Thornton: Brewers’ high-OBP, contact-oriented lefty/righty mix against the rookie lefty. Turang’s speed and production key.
Jake Bauers / William Contreras power vs. Thornton: Potential for extra-base damage if Thornton leaves balls up.
Francisco Lindor / Bo Bichette / Luis Robert Jr. vs. Kyle Harrison: Mets’ remaining stars vs. Harrison’s high-K stuff. Lindor’s switch-hitting and Bichette’s contact present challenges.
Carson Benge / Christopher Morel vs. Harrison.
Bullpens: Brewers elite overall (strong K rates and low ERA); Mets solid late but depleted by injuries. Citi Field can play neutral-to-pitcher friendly depending on wind.
Brewers’ superior run prevention and offense edge the matchups.
Recent Team Forms
Brewers: 7-3 last 10; L1. Recent: L 4-2 vs. ATL, W 4-1 vs. ATL, W 2-1 vs. ATL, W 7-4 vs. SEA, L 7-5 vs. SEA. Dominant overall (best record in NL, +161 run differential); 1st in NL Central by comfortable margin. Away: 36-26.
Mets: 6-4 last 10; L1. Recent: L 2-1 @ CHW, W 10-5 @ CHW, L 6-4 @ CHW, W 4-2 vs. SD, L 5-2 vs. SD. Modest recent improvement but still last in NL East with poor overall differential. Home: 30-35.
Series History
2026 season series: Brewers lead 2-1 (July in Milwaukee: MIL 8-3, NYM 4-0, MIL 4-3).
This is the first of a three-game set at Citi Field (Aug 25–27). Historical matchups have been competitive, but current form heavily favors Milwaukee.
Betting Trends
Brewers strong favorites and road performers against weaker clubs; unders common in recent Brewers games vs. NL East and Mets as home underdogs. Mets have shown some life lately but struggle against elite pitching. Public likely heavy on Milwaukee; value may exist on the run line or under given both starters’ profiles and Citi Field tendencies.
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 159
New York Mets 7.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, August 24, 2026
