loanDepot park, Miami, FL.
Scheduled First pitch 6:40 p.m. ET.
Venue and Weather
loanDepot park (Miami; retractable roof, often closed for comfort/humidity). Forecast for Tuesday: Sunny to clear, highs around 87–92°F with game-time temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s°F under the roof if closed, 0% precipitation chance, and moderate winds (around 9–11 mph ESE). Hot and humid conditions typical for South Florida; roof status will determine exact impact on ball flight.
Starting Pitchers
Pirates RHP Paul Skenes (9-10, 3.96 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 162 K in ~130 IP). Reigning NL Cy Young winner dealing with a down year relative to prior dominance (ERA more than double previous seasons). Strong career vs. Marlins (2.60 ERA, 26 K in 17.1 IP across three starts). Recent outings include walks issues but limited hard contact.
Marlins RHP Eury Pérez (5-9, 3.61 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 121 K in ~110 IP). Solid velocity and home success (career ~2.75 ERA in home starts). Competitive matchup against Skenes.
Injury Reports
Pirates: Ryan O’Hearn (OF, 10-day IL, quad); longer-term/60-day: Oneil Cruz (hand), Mitch Keller (arm), Konnor Griffin (finger); Endy Rodríguez (C, day-to-day, hip). Key absences in the outfield and rotation depth.
Marlins: Kyle Stowers (1B/OF, day-to-day, hamstring); Max Meyer (SP, 15-day IL, neck); Anthony Bender (RP, 15-day IL, shin); William Kempner (RP, 15-day IL, elbow); longer-term/60-day: Andrew Nardi, Robby Snelling, Ronny Henriquez, Adam Mazur (elbows/ribs). Bullpen and depth impacted.
Current/Projected Rosters and Key Contributors
Pirates (key active): Brandon Lowe (25 HR, power leader), Bryan Reynolds, Nick Gonzales (.306 AVG), Jake Mangum, others. Offense capable of high run totals when clicking.
Marlins: Otto Lopez (.318 AVG, productive), Griffin Conine (recent multi-HR games), Xavier Edwards, Joe Mack, others. Strong home record and OBP.
Key Player vs. Player Matchups
Skenes (elite stuff, even in a relative off-year) vs. Marlins hitters (Lopez, Edwards, Conine, Mack): Skenes has dominated Miami historically with high K rates; limiting free passes will be key after recent walk issues.
Pérez (high velocity) vs. Pirates bats (Lowe, Reynolds, Gonzales): Pérez’s home success and stuff match up well against Pittsburgh’s power, but the Pirates’ contact/OBP can pressure him.
Overall: Pitching duel potential with two high-upside right-handers; edge slightly to Skenes on pedigree and history vs. this opponent.
Recent Team Forms
Pirates: 58-62 overall (28-32 away), 4th in NL Central. 3-7 in last 10 with elevated ERA recently; struggling to stay relevant in the standings.
Marlins: 60-59 overall (36-24 home), 3rd in NL East. 5-5 in last 10 with strong pitching (2.62 ERA in that span); solid at home.
Series History
Marlins lead the 2026 season series 2-1 (took two of three in Pittsburgh in mid-June). This opens a three-game set at loanDepot park (Aug. 11–13). Competitive interleague-style NL matchup.
Betting Trends
Low totals favored in Skenes starts and at this venue; Marlins strong at home; Pirates offense can explode but recent form is cold. Public leans toward the road favorite due to Skenes.
Game Odds
Pittsburgh Pirates – 113
Miami Marlins 7
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, August 10, 2026
