Truist Park, Atlanta, GA.
Scheduled First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET.
espn.com
Venue and Weather
Truist Park (Atlanta/Cumberland, GA). Forecast: Warm and humid, highs near 90–91°F (game-time temps around mid-80s°F), partly cloudy to mostly clear/sunny with low precipitation chance (around 5–30% range for showers/thunderstorms, lower into the evening). West winds ~5–8 mph. Conditions should favor hitters slightly with warm temperatures and light winds.
accuweather.com
Starting Pitchers
Mets RHP Nolan McLean (8-7, 3.51 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 156 K in 130.2 IP). Strong K rate (~10.7 K/9). Last start (Aug. 6 at CLE): 5 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 8 K in a win. Career vs. Braves: strong (roughly 2-0, ~3.18 ERA in limited prior meetings; held them to 2 ER in prior 2026 starts). Solid overall form with some inconsistency (recent 5-run outing).
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Braves LHP Martín Pérez (7-6, 3.14 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 78 K in 100.1 IP). Excellent post-All-Star form (recent stretch ~1.42 ERA; scoreless outings including 7 IP 1 H vs. WSN and short no-hit work vs. MIA). Last two starts combined: 1 H over 10 IP. Has mixed results vs. Mets in 2026 (e.g., solid earlier win, tougher later outings). Career history vs. Mets is generally favorable.
reuters.com
Injury Reports
Mets: Devin Williams (RHP, 15-day IL, shoulder); Juan Soto (OF, 10-day IL, calf); Mark Vientos (INF, 10-day IL, hand); Austin Warren, Cionel Pérez (RPs, 15-day IL, forearm); longer-term: Tylor Megill, Reed Garrett, Justin Hagenman, others (elbow/ribs/shoulder, 60-day). Bullpen impact notable after Williams’ placement.
sportsnet.ca
Braves: Robert Suarez (RP, 15-day IL, elbow/forearm); Reynaldo López (15-day IL, knee); longer-term: Spencer Strider, Spencer Schwellenbach (SPs, elbow, 60-day), Joe Jiménez, Joey Wentz (knee, 60-day). Rotation and bullpen depth affected but core lineup largely intact.
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Projected/Recent Rosters and Lineups
Mets (key active contributors): Francisco Lindor (SS), Bo Bichette, Carson Benge, Brett Baty, Jared Young, Marcus Semien, Francisco Álvarez, A.J. Ewing, Jorge Polanco/others. Recent game (Aug. 10): Featured Ewing, Lindor, Bichette, Benge, Young, Semien, Baty, Polanco, Álvarez. Soto and Vientos out.
mlb.com
Braves: Drake Baldwin (C/DH), Ronald Acuña Jr. (RF), Matt Olson (1B), Michael Harris II (CF), Ozzie Albies (2B), Mauricio Dubón, Austin Riley (3B), Jim Jarvis (SS), Sean Murphy/others. Strong middle-of-order power with Olson (34 HR), Harris, Acuña, Albies.
rotochamp.com
Key Player vs. Player Matchups
McLean (RHP) vs. lefty-heavy Braves threats (Olson, Harris II, Baldwin): McLean has limited some lefties previously; Olson has been quiet in small samples vs. him in available data.
Pérez (LHP) vs. Mets: Lindor has historically hit him well (career numbers strong in limited looks); Bichette also productive in samples; right-handed bats like Álvarez/Semien/Baty face the lefty. Mets switch-hitters (Lindor) and lefties get platoon edges.
Power spots: Olson/Harris/Acuña vs. McLean’s stuff; Lindor/Benge/Baty vs. Pérez’s command. Both staffs allow home runs at moderate rates; park and weather can amplify.
sports-reference.com
Recent Team Forms
Mets: 53-67 overall (28-33 away), but surging — 6-4 last 10, strong road trip (won 6 of 7 recently, including Aug. 10’s 8-5 win at Atlanta behind Baty’s grand slam and Lindor’s multi-hit night). Offense has clicked lately; pitching mixed. Guaranteed season-series win vs. Atlanta for first time since 2017.
reuters.com
Braves: 71-48 overall (39-21 home), 7-3 last 10. Strong home form (had a 9-game home win streak snapped Aug. 10). Solid pitching (team ERA ~3.60) and offense led by Olson (34 HR, 72 RBI) and Harris. First in NL East.
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Series History
Mets lead the 2026 season series 7-4 (after Aug. 10 win). This is the middle game of a three-game set at Truist Park (series finale Aug. 12). Mets have taken 7 of 11 meetings overall this year. Historical rivalry edge has swung toward New York recently.
baseball-reference.com
Betting Trends:
Mets strong as road underdogs lately and vs. Atlanta this year; Braves excellent at home but vulnerable after the streak snap. Totals have gone over in several recent head-to-heads. Pérez’s underlying metrics (higher xFIP/SIERA than ERA) suggest possible regression; McLean’s strikeout ability vs. a power lineup is a swing factor. Weather leans mildly toward scoring.
covers.com
GAME ODDS
New York Mets 8.5
Atlanta Braves – 128
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, August 10, 2026
