MLB Game Preview: Baltimore Orioles (57-61) vs. Minnesota Twins (58-61)

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First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (coverage on MASN/Twins.TV/MLB.TV).

mlbschedule.net

Probable Starters

Orioles: LHP Trevor Rogers (#28; 7-7, 4.20 ERA, ~1.24 WHIP, 115.2 IP, 98 K).

The left-hander has shown improvement in recent months (stronger stretch with better command and strikeouts, including a recent 9-K outing). He has been more effective overall than earlier in the season.

razzball.com

Twins: RHP Dean Kremer (#13; 1-4, 5.93 ERA, ~1.32 WHIP in limited ~41 IP).

The right-hander has struggled with consistency and home runs in his 2026 appearances, posting elevated ERAs in several outings.

cbssports.com

Rogers (lefty) holds the edge in season-long reliability and recent form over Kremer’s higher ERA in a smaller sample. Both pitchers have dealt with inconsistency at times this year.

Venue and Weather

Target Field (Minneapolis). Forecast for game time: Pleasant late-summer conditions with daytime highs in the mid-80s°F, cooling into the upper 60s by evening. Partly sunny to mostly clear with low precipitation chances for the evening (daytime PoP lower; isolated showers possible overnight). Light winds (east/northeast around 5 mph or less). Comfortable conditions that should not heavily favor one side; open-air park allows potential for some ball carry if the air is right.

weatherbug.com

Injury Reports (key/recent)

Orioles: Samuel Basallo (C, 10-day IL, shoulder), Blaze Alexander (INF, 10-day IL, hand), Ryan Mountcastle (1B, longer IL with oblique/foot issues), Chris Bassitt (SP, 60-day IL, back; nearing return potential), Ryan Helsley/Félix Bautista (RPs, longer IL/elbow/shoulder), Keegan Akin (RP, elbow), and others. Core pieces like Pete Alonso remain active.

covers.com

Twins: Byron Buxton (CF, 10-day IL, hip; expected mid-August return window), Joe Ryan (SP, 15-day IL, glute), Zebby Matthews (SP, day-to-day/foot), Mike Paredes/Mick Abel (longer IL), and other depth pitchers. Key hitters like those around Josh Bell/Royce Lewis area are available, though the outfield is impacted by Buxton’s absence.

cbssports.com

Current Rosters / Projected Lineups

Orioles: Features Pete Alonso (power/RBI leader range), Jackson Holliday, Tyler O’Neill, Leody Taveras, and supporting infield/outfield. Offense averages ~.234 AVG with solid power (higher HR totals).

foxsports.com

Twins: Includes contributors around Byron Buxton (when healthy), Josh Bell (RBI production), Royce Lewis, Luke Keaschall-type contact, and others. Offense ~.244 AVG with comparable power.

foxsports.com

Key Player vs. Player Matchups

Rogers (LHP) vs. Twins hitters: Left-handed look could challenge right-handed bats in the Twins lineup; key threats include power from Lewis/Bell types and contact options. Rogers’ recent strikeout ability and lower walk rate help.

Kremer (RHP) vs. Orioles hitters: Alonso’s power is a primary concern against a higher-ERA starter; Holliday and O’Neill add threats. Kremer’s HR susceptibility is a factor.

Team-level: Both clubs have middling records and similar run environments (~4.4–4.7 RPG). Orioles’ lefty starter vs. Twins’ home park creates a competitive, potentially mid-scoring matchup.

Recent Team Forms

Orioles (57-61, 4th AL East): Last 10 roughly 4-6 (or 5-5 depending on exact window). Recent results include a win over Texas after losses in the series and mixed outcomes vs. Angels. Away record ~25-31. Offense and pitching both middle-of-the-pack (ERA ~4.19). Manager Craig Albernaz.

statmuse.com

Twins (58-61, around 2nd/3rd AL Central): Last 10 roughly 4-6. Recent form includes close losses and wins vs. Brewers and Royals. Home record ~30-27. Offense slightly stronger on paper; pitching ERA higher (~4.60). Manager Derek Shelton.

espn.com

Series History

Limited 2026 meetings earlier in the season (March series at Baltimore saw split results with both teams taking games). This opens a three-game set at Target Field (Aug 10–12). Historical matchups have been competitive without a dominant recent edge.

baseball-reference.com

Betting Trends:

Both teams have seen Unders in recent games; home underdogs or slight favorites can cover in AL Central/East cross-series. Public often leans home sides; value can appear on the road underdog or Under with the pitching profiles.

Game Odds

Baltimore Orioles            – 108

Minnesota Twins             8.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, August 9, 2026

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