Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Scheduled Tip‑Off: 8:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. CT
Broadcast: ESPN2, WNBA League Pass
INJURY REPORT
Las Vegas Aces
Chelsea Gray — Probable (foot soreness)
Alysha Clark — Questionable (hip tightness)
Kierstan Bell — Out (ankle sprain)
Minnesota Lynx
Diamond Miller — Probable (knee irritation)
Natalie Achonwa — Out (shoulder)
Lindsay Allen — Questionable (hamstring)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Las Vegas Aces — Last 5 Games
W 92–81 vs Phoenix
W 101–89 vs Seattle
L 78–84 at Dallas
W 95–82 at Chicago
L 87–94 vs Connecticut Trend: Offense surging; defense inconsistent; Wilson dominant.
Minnesota Lynx — Last 5 Games
W 88–79 vs New York
W 90–72 vs Indiana
W 84–77 at Atlanta
L 76–83 at Connecticut
W 91–86 vs Phoenix Trend: Elite defensive form; Collier playing MVP‑level basketball.
SERIES HISTORY
2021–2026: Aces lead 12–7
At Target Center: Lynx lead 5–4
Last meeting (June 2026): Lynx 89, Aces 84
Key trend: Minnesota’s defense has historically slowed Las Vegas’ pace more effectively than most teams.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. A’ja Wilson (LVA) vs Napheesa Collier (MIN)
Two MVP candidates. Wilson’s rim protection and mid‑post scoring vs Collier’s versatility and elite two‑way impact. This matchup decides the game’s tempo.
2. Kelsey Plum (LVA) vs Kayla McBride (MIN)
Plum’s downhill scoring vs McBride’s perimeter defense and catch‑and‑shoot efficiency. If Plum gets hot early, Vegas’ offense becomes nearly unstoppable.
3. Chelsea Gray (LVA) vs Courtney Williams (MIN)
Gray’s playmaking vs Williams’ mid‑range shot creation. Gray’s health status is critical — her ability to control pace is unmatched.
4. Jackie Young (LVA) vs Diamond Miller (MIN)
Young’s physicality vs Miller’s length and athleticism. Young’s ability to attack mismatches is a major advantage.
TACTICAL OUTLOOK
Las Vegas Aces
Strengths: Elite spacing, high‑efficiency offense, star power
Concerns: Defensive lapses, reliance on Wilson for rim protection
Keys to Win:
Push pace early
Limit Collier’s touches
Plum/Young must win perimeter matchups
Minnesota Lynx
Strengths: Best half‑court defense in the league, elite rebounding
Concerns: Occasional scoring droughts, reliance on Collier
Keys to Win:
Slow Vegas’ transition game
Force Gray into tough mid‑range shots
McBride/Miller must provide secondary scoring
BETTING TRENDS
Aces are 6–4 ATS in their last 10 games.
Lynx are 7–3 ATS in their last 10 games.
Overs have hit in 5 of Las Vegas’ last 7 games.
Unders have hit in 4 of Minnesota’s last 6 games.
Lynx are 9–2 at home in their last 11 games.
Aces are 4–6 on the road in their last 10.
GAME ODDS
Las Vegas Aces 181
Minnesota Lynx – 4.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, August 7, 2026
