Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington
Scheduled First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. PT / 10:10 p.m. ET
Broadcast: Bally Sports Sun, ROOT Sports Northwest, MLB.TV
WEATHER FORECAST — SEATTLE, WA (7:10 p.m. PT)
(T-Mobile Park has a retractable roof; weather influences roof‑status decisions)
Temperature: 72°F
Humidity: 64%
Wind: 6 mph blowing out to left‑center
Conditions: Partly cloudy
Ballpark Impact: Slight boost for right‑handed pull hitters; roof likely open given mild conditions.
CURRENT ROSTERS (PROJECTED ACTIVE PLAYERS)
Tampa Bay Rays
Lineup:
Yandy Díaz — 1B
Randy Arozarena — LF
Isaac Paredes — 3B
Junior Caminero — DH
Josh Lowe — RF
Taylor Walls — SS
Jose Siri — CF
Ben Rortvedt — C
Brandon Lowe — 2B
Bench: Harold Ramírez, Richie Palacios, Alex Jackson
Bullpen: Pete Fairbanks, Jason Adam, Colin Poche, Phil Maton, Garrett Cleavinger
Seattle Mariners
Lineup:
J.P. Crawford — SS
Julio Rodríguez — CF
Cal Raleigh — C
Ty France — 1B
Mitch Haniger — RF
Jorge Polanco — 2B
Luke Raley — LF
Josh Rojas — 3B
Dominic Canzone — DH
Bench: Dylan Moore, Sam Haggerty, Seby Zavala
Bullpen: Andrés Muñoz, Matt Brash, Gregory Santos, Trent Thornton, Gabe Speier
INJURY REPORT
Tampa Bay Rays
Josh Lowe – Probable (shoulder)
Brandon Lowe – Questionable (back)
Shane McClanahan – Out (UCL recovery)
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodríguez – Probable (wrist)
Mitch Haniger – Questionable (hamstring)
George Kirby – Out (forearm)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Tampa Bay Rays — Last 5 Games
W 6–3 vs Toronto
W 5–1 vs Toronto
L 2–6 at Boston
W 4–3 at Boston
W 8–4 at Boston Trend: Offense heating up; rotation stabilizing behind Rasmussen and Bradley.
Seattle Mariners — Last 5 Games
L 2–5 at Houston
W 7–2 at Houston
L 1–6 vs Angels
L 3–8 vs Angels
W 5–4 vs Angels Trend: Inconsistent offense; bullpen strong but overworked.
SERIES HISTORY
2021–2026: Rays lead 22–18
At T-Mobile Park: Mariners lead 10–9
Last meeting (2025): Rays 5, Mariners 3
Key trend: Tampa Bay’s right‑handed power has consistently challenged Seattle’s pitching in spacious T-Mobile Park.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Randy Arozarena (TB) vs Logan Gilbert (SEA)
Gilbert’s elevated fastball vs Arozarena’s ability to crush velocity. Arozarena has a .295 AVG vs high‑spin fastballs in 2026.
2. Julio Rodríguez (SEA) vs Drew Rasmussen (TB)
Rasmussen’s cutter/slider mix vs Julio’s elite bat speed. If Rasmussen gets ahead early, Julio’s chase tendencies become exploitable.
3. Isaac Paredes (TB) vs Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
Paredes’ plate discipline vs Muñoz’s triple‑digit fastball. Critical late‑inning duel.
4. Cal Raleigh (SEA) vs Jason Adam (TB)
Raleigh’s left‑handed power vs Adam’s elite changeup. If Raleigh gets a mistake, he can change the game with one swing.
PITCHING OUTLOOK
Drew Rasmussen — RHP, Rays
2026 Stats: 3.22 ERA, 1.09 WHIP
Strengths: Cutter/slider combination, elite command
Concern: Occasional vulnerability to left‑handed power (Raley, Raleigh)
Advantage: Mariners struggle vs elite breaking‑ball pitchers
Logan Gilbert — RHP, Mariners
2026 Stats: 3.58 ERA, 1.17 WHIP
Strengths: Elevated fastball, strong slider
Concern: Rays’ right‑handed power (Arozarena, Paredes, Caminero)
Advantage: Tampa Bay struggles vs pitchers who mix speeds effectively
BETTING TRENDS
Rays are 7–3 in their last 10 games.
Mariners are 4–6 in their last 10 games.
Overs have hit in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games.
Unders have hit in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games.
Rays have won 6 of the last 9 head‑to‑head meetings.
Game Odds
Tampa Bay Rays 7
Seattle Mariners – 114
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, August 6, 2026
