Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, California
Scheduled First Pitch: 6:40 p.m. PT / 9:40 p.m. ET
Broadcast: AT&T SportsNet Southwest, Bally Sports San Diego, MLB.TV
WEATHER FORECAST — SAN DIEGO, CA (6:40 p.m. PT)
Temperature: 74°F
Humidity: 68%
Wind: 7 mph blowing out to right‑center
Conditions: Clear coastal evening
Ballpark Impact: Slight boost for left‑handed power; otherwise pitcher‑friendly Petco Park conditions.
CURRENT ROSTERS
Houston Astros
Lineup:
Jose Altuve — 2B
Yordan Alvarez — LF
Kyle Tucker — RF
Alex Bregman — 3B
Jeremy Peña — SS
Chas McCormick — CF
Jon Singleton — 1B
Yainer Diaz — C
Mauricio Dubón — DH
Bench: Jake Meyers, Grae Kessinger, Victor Caratini Bullpen: Ryan Pressly, Bryan Abreu, Seth Martinez, Rafael Montero, Hunter Brown
San Diego Padres
Lineup:
Fernando Tatis Jr. — RF
Xander Bogaerts — SS
Manny Machado — 3B
Luis Arraez — 2B
Jackson Merrill — LF
Jake Cronenworth — 1B
Ha‑Seong Kim — DH
Luis Campusano — C
Trent Grisham — CF
Bench: Matthew Batten, David Peralta, Brett Sullivan Bullpen: Robert Suarez, Yuki Matsui, Enyel De Los Santos, Jhony Brito, Adrian Morejon
INJURY REPORT
Houston Astros
Kyle Tucker – Probable (foot soreness)
Chas McCormick – Questionable (hamstring)
Framber Valdez – Out (shoulder)
San Diego Padres
Manny Machado – Probable (wrist)
Luis Campusano – Questionable (thumb)
Joe Musgrove – Out (elbow)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Houston Astros — Last 5 Games
W 7–3 at Oakland
W 5–2 at Oakland
L 1–5 at Oakland
W 6–4 vs Seattle
L 2–7 vs Seattle Trend: Offense inconsistent; pitching stabilizing behind Blanco and Abreu.
San Diego Padres — Last 5 Games
W 5–3 vs Arizona
L 2–6 vs Arizona
W 7–4 vs Arizona
L 3–5 at Colorado
W 8–2 at Colorado Trend: Offense heating up; bullpen strong but overworked.
SERIES HISTORY
2021–2026: Astros lead 18–14
At Petco Park: Padres lead 8–7
Last meeting (2025): Astros 4, Padres 2
Key trend: Houston’s left‑handed power (Alvarez, Tucker) has consistently challenged San Diego’s right‑handed pitching.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) vs Robbie Ray (SD)
Ray’s fastball/slider combo vs Alvarez’s elite left‑handed power. Alvarez has a .310 AVG and .590 SLG vs left‑handed starters in 2026.
2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) vs Ronel Blanco (HOU)
Blanco’s high‑spin fastball vs Tatis’ ability to crush elevated velocity. If Blanco falls behind early, Tatis becomes extremely dangerous.
3. Alex Bregman (HOU) vs Robert Suarez (SD)
Bregman’s plate discipline vs Suarez’s elite command. Critical late‑inning duel.
4. Manny Machado (SD) vs Bryan Abreu (HOU)
Machado’s ability to handle elite breaking balls vs Abreu’s wipeout slider. If Machado is fully active, this is the most dangerous ninth‑inning matchup.
PITCHING OUTLOOK
Ronel Blanco — RHP, Astros
2026 Stats: 3.64 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Strengths: High‑spin fastball, strong slider
Concern: Occasional command lapses; Padres’ lineup punishes mistakes
Advantage: San Diego struggles vs elite fastball/slider combinations
Robbie Ray — LHP, Padres
2026 Stats: 3.51 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Strengths: Strikeout ability, deceptive slider
Concern: Vulnerable to right‑handed power (Altuve, Bregman, Peña)
Advantage: Astros struggle vs left‑handed starters on the road
BETTING TRENDS
Astros are 6–4 in their last 10 games.
Padres are 5–5 in their last 10 games.
Overs have hit in 6 of Houston’s last 8 games.
Unders have hit in 4 of San Diego’s last 6 games.
Astros have won 5 of the last 7 head‑to‑head meetings.
Game Odds
Houston Astros 8
San Diego Padres – 110
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, August 6, 2026
