WNBA Game Preview: Phoenix Mercury (12-20) vs. Connecticut Sun (7-23)

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Connecticut Sun logo

Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, Connecticut

Scheduled Tip‑Off: 7:00 p.m. ET

Broadcast: WNBA League Pass, ESPN+

CURRENT ROSTERS (PROJECTED ACTIVE PLAYERS)

Phoenix Mercury

Guards: Diana Taurasi, Natasha Cloud, Sophie Cunningham, Sug Sutton Wings/Forwards: Kahleah Copper, Mikiah Herbert Harrigan, Rebecca Allen Posts: Brittney Griner, Brianna Turner, Charli Collier Two‑way/Depth: Kadi Sissoko, Liz Dixon

Connecticut Sun

Guards: Ty Harris, Tiffany Mitchell, Rachel Banham Wings/Forwards: DeWanna Bonner, Alyssa Thomas, Brionna Jones Posts: Olivia Nelson‑Ododa, Astou Ndour‑Fall Depth: Leigha Brown, Mya Hollingshed

(Rosters reflect 2026 active players and standard rotations.)

INJURY REPORT

Phoenix Mercury

Brittney Griner – Probable (ankle soreness)

Sophie Cunningham – Questionable (wrist sprain)

Charli Collier – Out (foot stress reaction)

Connecticut Sun

Alyssa Thomas – Probable (shoulder management)

Brionna Jones – Questionable (knee swelling)

Tiffany Mitchell – Out (hamstring)

RECENT TEAM FORM

Phoenix Mercury – Last 5 Games

W 89–81 vs Seattle

L 72–84 at Minnesota

W 95–88 vs Dallas

L 79–90 at Las Vegas

L 83–92 vs Chicago Trend: Offense improving; defense inconsistent. Copper and Taurasi carrying scoring load.

Connecticut Sun – Last 5 Games

L 68–79 vs New York

L 74–82 at Washington

W 81–77 vs Indiana

L 70–89 at Atlanta

L 73–85 vs Las Vegas Trend: Struggling to generate offense; defensive rebounding issues without consistent minutes from Jones.

SERIES HISTORY

All‑time: Connecticut leads 32–20

At Mohegan Sun Arena: Sun lead 18–7

Last meeting (2026): Mercury 87, Sun 78

Key trend: Phoenix has won 3 of the last 4 matchups, largely due to Copper’s ability to attack Connecticut’s slower perimeter rotations.

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

1. Brittney Griner (PHX) vs Olivia Nelson‑Ododa (CON)

Griner’s post efficiency (58% FG) and rim protection remain elite. Nelson‑Ododa must use mobility to deny deep seals. If Griner dominates early touches, Connecticut will be forced to double, opening Phoenix’s perimeter.

2. Kahleah Copper (PHX) vs DeWanna Bonner (CON)

Copper’s downhill explosiveness vs Bonner’s length and veteran savvy. Copper averages 21.4 PPG over her last five; Bonner’s ability to force mid‑range pull‑ups is critical.

3. Natasha Cloud (PHX) vs Ty Harris (CON)

Cloud’s physicality and pace control vs Harris’ efficiency and improved shooting. Harris must limit turnovers; Cloud excels at turning live‑ball mistakes into transition points.

4. Alyssa Thomas (CON) vs Brianna Turner (PHX)

Thomas’ point‑forward role challenges Turner’s defensive versatility. If Thomas is limited physically, Connecticut’s offensive creation suffers dramatically.

TACTICAL OUTLOOK

Phoenix Mercury

Offensive Identity: Spread‑floor pick‑and‑roll, Copper isolation, Griner post touches

Defensive Approach: Switch‑heavy scheme; Cloud pressures ball handlers

Key Advantage: Superior shot creation; Copper’s ability to collapse defenses

Concern: Defensive rebounding; reliance on Griner’s rim protection

Connecticut Sun

Offensive Identity: Thomas as initiator, Bonner mid‑range creation, Jones post scoring (if active)

Defensive Approach: Physical interior defense, zone looks to hide perimeter gaps

Key Advantage: If Jones plays, interior scoring and offensive rebounding

Concern: Limited spacing; inconsistent guard production

BETTING TRENDS

Phoenix is 4–2 ATS in its last six.

Connecticut is 1–7 ATS in its last eight.

Overs have hit in 5 of Phoenix’s last 6 games.

Sun unders have hit in 4 of their last 5 home games.

Phoenix has covered in 3 straight meetings vs Connecticut.

GAME ODDS

Phoenix Mercury             – 5.5

Connecticut Sun               175

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, August 6, 2026

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WNBA Editor
Profile: A dedicated WNBA analyst with a deep understanding of the league’s tactical evolution, player‑development pathways, and expanding cultural impact. This columnist provides comprehensive coverage that blends advanced metrics, film study, and league‑wide context to highlight the storylines shaping modern professional women’s basketball. Background: With extensive experience covering the WNBA and women’s basketball at multiple levels, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets and digital platforms, offering perspective on coaching trends, roster construction, and organizational strategy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking team progression throughout the season. Signature Coverage Areas: Game previews and matchup analysis Film‑based breakdowns of offensive and defensive systems Player evaluation, draft analysis, and free‑agency movement Team‑building strategy, salary‑cap dynamics, and front‑office trends Historical context, league milestones, and postseason features Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex schemes and statistical models into insights that resonate with both long‑time WNBA fans and new followers of the league. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the WNBA’s growth, competitiveness, and influence on the broader basketball landscape.