Venue: T-Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington
Scheduled First Pitch: 6:40 p.m. PT / 9:40 p.m. ET
Weather Forecast — Seattle, WA
T-Mobile Park features a retractable roof; weather matters only if open.
Temperature: 76°F at first pitch
Wind: Light NW winds 5–8 mph
Conditions: Clear, low humidity
Impact: If roof is open, slight boost to balls hit to left field; otherwise neutral indoor conditions
CURRENT ROSTERS
Detroit Tigers
Rotation: Framber Valdez, Tarik Skubal, Casey Mize, Reese Olson
Bullpen: Jason Foley, Alex Lange, Shelby Miller, Will Vest
Lineup:
Riley Greene (CF)
Spencer Torkelson (1B)
Kerry Carpenter (RF)
Mark Canha (DH)
Colt Keith (3B)
Javier Báez (SS)
Gio Urshela (2B)
Jake Rogers (C)
Akil Baddoo (LF)
Seattle Mariners
Rotation: Bryce Miller, George Kirby, Logan Gilbert, Emerson Hancock
Bullpen: Andrés Muñoz, Matt Brash, Gregory Santos, Gabe Speier
Lineup:
J.P. Crawford (SS)
Julio Rodríguez (CF)
Cal Raleigh (C)
Ty France (1B)
Mitch Haniger (RF)
Josh Rojas (2B)
Luke Raley (LF)
Jorge Polanco (DH)
Luis Urías (3B)
INJURY REPORT
Detroit Tigers
Kerry Carpenter — Probable (ankle)
Alex Lange — Questionable (shoulder)
Casey Mize — Out (forearm fatigue)
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodríguez — Probable (wrist)
Matt Brash — Out (elbow)
Jorge Polanco — Questionable (hamstring)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Detroit Tigers — Last 10 Games: 5–5
Offense averaging 4.4 runs/game
Greene hitting .315 over last 15
Torkelson slugging .510 over last 20
Bullpen ERA: 4.22 last 10
Tigers have won 3 of last 4 road games
Seattle Mariners — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense averaging 3.9 runs/game
Julio Rodríguez hitting .290 over last 12
Raleigh with 4 HR in last 10
Bullpen ERA: 3.61 last 10
Mariners have lost 5 of last 7 at home
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
Framber Valdez — LHP, Tigers
2026 ERA: 3.64
WHIP: 1.27
Strengths: Elite ground‑ball rate, heavy sinker, strong command
Weaknesses: Occasional walk spikes; Mariners’ left‑handed bats (Raley, Crawford) match well
Matchup Concern: Julio Rodríguez handles sinkers well and thrives vs. lefties with command issues
Bryce Miller — RHP, Mariners
2026 ERA: 3.91
WHIP: 1.23
Strengths: High‑velo fastball, strong strikeout rate, good home splits
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to left‑handed power; Tigers’ LH core (Greene, Carpenter, Baddoo) matches well
Matchup Advantage: His fastball can neutralize Torkelson’s inside‑out swing
KEY PLAYER VS. PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Julio Rodríguez vs. Framber Valdez
Julio crushes sinkers and excels vs. left‑handers.
Valdez must keep the ball down or Julio can do major damage.
Edge: Rodríguez
2. Riley Greene vs. Bryce Miller
Greene handles high‑velo well and has been hot recently.
Miller’s fastball must stay elevated to avoid Greene’s barrel.
Edge: Slight to Greene
3. Cal Raleigh vs. Tigers Bullpen
Raleigh’s late‑inning power is dangerous.
Tigers’ bullpen has allowed 7 HR in last 10 games.
Edge: Raleigh
4. Spencer Torkelson vs. Mariners Infield
Torkelson’s line‑drive profile plays well at T-Mobile Park.
Crawford’s range may limit Torkelson’s infield hits.
Edge: Even
SERIES HISTORY
2026 Season: First meeting
Last 20 Meetings: Mariners lead 12–8
Mariners have won six straight home games vs. Detroit
Average margin at T-Mobile Park last 10: Mariners +2.3
BETTING TRENDS
Detroit Tigers
ATS (Run Line): 53–61
O/U: Over in 6 of last 10
Road O/U: Over in 7 of last 10
Tigers overs hit due to pitching volatility.
Seattle Mariners
ATS (Run Line): 58–57
O/U: Under in 6 of last 10
Home ATS: 32–27
Mariners unders hit due to strong pitching at home.
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Mariners have covered run line in 5 of last 7
Over has hit in 4 of last 6
Julio Rodríguez has HR or multi‑hit game in 7 of last 10 vs. left‑handers
Game Odds
Detroit Tigers 8
Seattle Mariners – 124
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, August 5, 2026
